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Purplebricks tumbles as Berenberg double-downgrades, butchers price target

Fri, 05th Apr 2019 07:44

(Sharecast News) - Purplebricks was under the cosh on Friday after Berenberg double-downgraded the stock and took an axe to its price target following its profit warning in February.In a note on estate agents, Berenberg cut its stance on Purplebricks to 'sell' from 'buy' and slashed the price target to 80p from 470p. It said that after initial success, the company is suffering from the numerous challenges of slowing growth in its core UK market, deteriorating performance in Australia and the US and the exits of both the UK and US CEOs."In our view, the limitations of the upfront fee model are being laid bare and the addressable market is proving much smaller than initially hoped," the bank said."Having flown too close to the sun, with operations in five countries and cash burn of circa £7m/month, we believe the group will be forced to either seek additional equity at a significant discount or a doubtless expensive debt facility; or abandon the Australian and US operations and retrench to the UK and Canada."Berenberg upped its stance on Foxtons to 'hold' from 'sell' and nudged up the price target to 60p from 50p. It argued that while the near-term outlook is tough, Foxtons remains the premier operator in the sector and stands poised to benefit from any recovery in transactions.It added that the company's balance sheet remains healthy and it is a potential take-out target."While the outlook for transactions remains somewhat bleak in the near term, the group remains highly geared into any uptick in transactional volumes. A return to 2012 volumes levels implies EBITDA of £26m, 10x our 2020 estimate and implies a potential takeout value of 110p."Berenberg also upgraded its recommendation on Countrywide, to 'buy' from 'hold', chopping the price target to 10p from 95p.It said that following a period of sustained mismanagement, the stock is investible again."Although recent performance has been extremely poor, many of the wounds were self-inflicted. With a new management team and a refreshed, but reassuringly simple, strategy in place, we feel the risk/reward dynamic is now more positive."On the sector more broadly, Berenberg said it does not expect a market tailwind in the short term, while lettings remains a longer-term growth market."The estate agents have endured a challenging past few years, suffering as the changing affordability dynamics in the UK housing market resulted in a contracting fee pool as the secondary housing market stagnated. Alongside general market weakness, the emergence of the online/hybrid model has placed additional pressure on fees, further reducing the addressable market."We do not anticipate a material reversal of these fortunes in the short term, and forecast the transactional fee pool to continue to decline by 1% per annum, as continued house price inflation is offset by fee pressure and falling existing home transactions.At 1400 BST, Purplebricks shares were down 7.7% to 127.40p, while Foxtons shares were up 0.6% to 64.18p and Countrywide was down 1.2% at 7.40p.
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Countrywide considering sale of commercial property business

(ShareCast News) - FTSE 250 estate agency group Countrywide confirmed on Thursday that it is undergoing a strategic review in relation to its commercial property arm, Lambert Smith Hampton. In a brief statement in response to earlier press speculation, Countrywide said it is considering a potential

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24 Nov 2016 16:41

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(ShareCast News) - UK stocks were in cautious form all day Thursday, with global markets generally subdued as traders in the US put their feet up for a Thanksgiving break. The FTSE 100 closed up 0.17% to 6,829.20. The FTSE 250 ended the session down 0.18% to 17,590.62. On the blue-chip upside, seve

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24 Nov 2016 12:00

LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: Countrywide Shares Sold Amid Quiet Market

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Countrywide tumbles to new low on Brexit profit warning

(ShareCast News) - Estate agent Countrywide warned that operating profits will be lower than expected for the full year, due to a "tough" residential market as a result of a change in stamp duty and the EU referendum. The FTSE 250 company said due to reduced transactions in the second half of the ye

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23 Nov 2016 14:54

2nd UPDATE: Government Letting Fee Ban Will Drive Up Rents - Savills

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23 Nov 2016 11:56

LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: Estate Agents Sold Ahead Of UK Autumn Statement

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Estate agents stung by Chancellor's ban on letting fees

(ShareCast News) - In his Autumn Statement, Chancellor Philip Hammond announced he planned to clamp down on letting agent fees, sending estate agents shares lower on Wednesday. Shares of companies in the sector were sharply lower in early trade, with Foxtons were down 9%, Countrywide losing 5% and L

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25 Oct 2016 10:11

Broker tips: Howden Joinery Group, Segro, Countrywide

(ShareCast News) - Howden Joinery Group shares dropped on Tuesday as Berenberg lowered its recommendation on the stock to 'hold' from 'buy' and cut the target price to 450p from 550p. Berenberg said the supplier of kitchens and joinery products is seemingly one of the most exposed companies in its U

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Tuesday broker round-up

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