Last checked at 2 Nov 2016 07:00
Â
Â
Date: | Embargoed until 07.00hrs, Wednesday 2 November 2016 | |
 |  | |
Contacts: | Lord Wolfson, Chief Executive | |
 | Amanda James, Finance Director (analyst calls) | |
 | NEXT PLC | Tel: 0333 777 8888 |
 |  | |
 | Alistair Mackinnon-Musson | Email: next@rowbellpr.com |
 | Rowbell PR | Tel: 020 7717 5239 |
 |  | |
Photographs: | http://press.next.co.uk/media/company-images/campaignimages.aspx | |
Â
Â
NEXT plc
Trading Statement - 2 November 2016
Â
SALES FOR THE YEAR TO 31 OCTOBER 2016
Sales Year to Date
Total sales including markdown sales, for the year to date, are up +0.4% on last year. Markdown sales have grown faster than full price sales due to a much larger end-of-season Sale in July. Full price sales for the year to date are - 1.5% on last year.
Sales for the Third Quarter
In September we gave guidance that trading in the third quarter would be difficult. In August full price sales were subdued following the much larger end-of-season Sale in July, and in September we traded against our best month last year. October sales improved significantly, as comparative weeks last year became less challenging. The bar graph below shows the percentage year on year change in full price sales, by month for the third quarter.
Click or paste the following link into your web browser to view the chart titled '2016 Full Price Sales Growth by Month vs 2015' Refer to page 1 for the relevant chart.
http://www.rns-pdf.londonstockexchange.com/rns/0537O_-2016-11-1.pdf
Summary
The table below sets out full price sales for the third quarter and year to date for Retail and Directory.
Full Price Sales (VAT exclusive) | Third Quarter to 31 Oct | Year to Date |
NEXT Retail | - 5.9% | - 4.7% |
NEXT Directory | 0.0% | +3.2% |
NEXT Total | - 3.5% | - 1.5% |
Of which sales from new space | +1.3% | +1.4% |
FULL PRICE SALES AND PROFIT GUIDANCE FOR THE FULL YEAR
We have narrowed our sales guidance to -1.75% to +1.25%, this compares to our previous range of -2.5% to +2.5%. The mid-point of our new sales range is marginally lower than previous guidance. However, cost savings have also been better than expected, so our central profit forecast (as set out in our September report and presentation) remains unchanged at £805m1.
The table below sets out our revised sales range for the full year. This results in a profit range of £785m to £825m. This corresponds to growth in Earnings Per Share of between -1.3% to +3.7%.
Guidance Estimates | New Guidance | Previous Guidance | ||
Full Year to January 2017 (52 v 52 week basis) | Lower | Upper | Lower | Upper |
Total full price NEXT sales v LY | - 1.75% | +1.25% | - 2.5% | +2.5% |
Group profit before tax | £785m | £825m | £775m | £845m |
Group profit before tax v LY | - 4.4% | +0.5% | - 5.6% | +2.9% |
Earnings Per Share v LY 2 | - 1.3% | +3.7% | - 2.5% | +6.3% |
CHRISTMAS TRADING STATEMENT
We intend to issue our usual sales update for the period to 24 December 2016 on Wednesday 4 January 2017.
Â
Forward Looking StatementsCertain statements in this Trading Update are forward looking statements. These statements may contain the words "anticipate", "believe", "intend", "aim", "expects", "will", or words of similar meaning. By their nature, forward looking statements involve risks, uncertainties or assumptions that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by those statements. As such, undue reliance should not be placed on forward looking statements. Except as required by applicable law or regulation, NEXT plc disclaims any obligation or undertaking to update these statements to reflect events occurring after the date these statements were published.
1See Half year results (July 2016) analyst slides on our website: Profit Scenario 2016/17 (e), slide number 56 - Link here
Â
2The EPS calculation assumes total share buybacks this year of £188m, which have already been completed.
END