Member Info for wyndrum

MrA. I only buy and sell shares to try and make money so yes that is right.

What is your reason?

See3, I accept that to a degree but its rare that a short position succeeds without merit. (I say rare but I can't remember a situation where it has occurred).

Its a high risk strategy to publicly short a stock and is not lightly done without some justifiable reason.

As for "shorting crews" who just try to scare people into selling are exactly the same as rampers who convince others to buy.

Again, both scenario's can be avoided if the holder of the stock in question stays off BB's and social media. That way they cannot be influenced either way. It would be useful to, as it might make their research more accurately focussed rather than listening simply to others opinions?

Anyway. its always a hot topic, but its a fact of investing life that shorting is allowed and its just another thing to bear in mind when taking a position.

DTW, this often comes up on a general sense. But the shorters in this specific example of AVCT will only make money if the trial fails. If the trial fails then they have not "helped" that happen. You have taken a bet that the trial will succeed. You buying the stock also won't influence the result.

Its 2 sides of the same coin. to make an ethical argument that one bet is better than the other when neither influences the company is flawed imo.

Again I know it is the cause of some dispute here, but its one of the reasons why the SP I think SHOULD be separated form the company.

What AVCT are attempting to do and if successful, will simply be a marvellous, ground breaking breakthrough in the treatment of cancer.

The other point of course is that shorts are also used as hedges in situations like this too. I don't know if this is the case here specifically, but if somebody was 90% long on a positive outcome but put in a 10% short of their funds just to safeguard the investment should it fail, then that is prudent isn't it?

What you want Riply does not concern me. You are interested in the company's fundamentals. I am not. I am interested in the SP.

You show me the posts where I I spread FUD?

You are beyond parody in thinking I think I can alter the SP. I can't. What I brought to the discussion was that I foresaw LFT not being commercially viable. That was correct and you were wrong. It was only after the event you realised what I said months previously.

As I say, your obsession with me makes you simply invent a scenario which is not correct but, you can't let it go. Never mind.

I did not loose 95% in ADV but 60% and that was a bad result obviously. SNG swings about and I have managed to trade 4 times with an average 12% profit recouping my loss to an overall 48%. HE1 was initially around 45% loss but I traded some of that back and the overall loss to date is 35% however I am in slight profit with it now having bought back in waiting for the next attempt to drill.

If you don't believe this then I can only assume you don't believe any of my trades. It seems somewhat illogical to only believe my posts when I lose but ignore the times I am successful. But thats up to you.

For reasons I can't fathom you have become obsessed with wanting me to "fail". Whether I do or don't won't make any difference to your life and nor will it make any difference to the AVCT SP.

Maybe you enjoy other people's misfortunes but if you do, that's a pretty sad reflection of your character. imo, dyor etc etc..

you are spectacularly pathetic! ha ha

Have I maximised my potential profit? no, did I know it was going to fall again today? No. Charts can give you an indication as to what is most likely.

Most likely was a fall and a retrace to around 128p. I decided to sell and not wait until 128p was hit due the increasing risk the SP might move away from the fall that had occurred to the potential spread negating any extra profit from any potential continued fall.

We can argue, (that would be a change) about my proficiency but the chart was actually pretty accurate in this instance.

What i do know is that I have in this trade. 5% more shares than when I started so I can't really spin that as a bad trade... although that will no doubt eat you up inside....

Of course I am, I try to buy in at the lowest point but its more the price I sell at rather than the interim fluctuations that count.

So the stock where I bought yesterday is not a loss or a gain until I sell it. At that point I will know if the trade was successful or not.

Its not your board Tim, there are a few others that do have an interest in the day to day movements of the SP.

The spite and envy that others show to anyone who professes to make money on this stock is a thing to behold.

well done, interesting to see where it closes today.

bear in mind ITV, none of us actually have any idea of "real intentions" of posters.

My experience of these BB's is that dissenting views are ALWAYS treated with the assumption of masked intentions simply because they contradict the group think. And thats useful, because if the "belief" is that there are hidden nefarious intentions behind the post then they can be ignored, refuted as mischevious and the actual content dismissed allowing the majority to carry on in thinking just one way.

If everyone here is "not stupid" then why the desire to shutdown and discredit the poster who has a different opinion?

I respect your view that you believe there will be no cash raise before a drill program this year is completed. However it does not mean THAT will be the case. If cash was so plentiful, then why put new shares that can be used to raise money unless cash flow is tight?

Who knows, but I am always wary of BoD pronouncements and treat whatever forecasts they have with the utmost caution. Actions always speak louder than words

ITV, HE1, has already put in place a share placing if they need quick funds. which will be a dilution. What effect it makes to the SP, who knows, But new shares are already in place to be put into the market.

Keith, in answer to your question, if no one had a differing view then what would be the point of these BB's?

And if there is nothing that can be said to change in this example, your opinion, then why frequent them?

The most dangerous potential element of all these BB's is that dissent is broadly not tolerated. Just as you see the only reasons for the post you disagree with are for some manipulative nefarious reasons. If that is your genuine belief then surely every "positive" post, must have the same reasons behind them, namely to con people into buying? It can't be logical to say all the positive posts are genuine and all the negative posts are lying.

And this particular company has a track record where caution is justified as to timelines and promises.

As long as no one invests more than they can comfortably afford to lose then it all becomes largely irrelevant, which in turn then releases the importance of these BB's.

It has a risk to it, but to just to top slice a few thou and add a "free" 5% all adds up.

If the spread had remained at say3p, then I would also probably have risked waiting a bit longer in the hope of another couple of Pence but as I say it could fall to 129p and the buy is 133p? Anyway, I am happy with the outcome.

"In a very classic chart scenario the SP will close around 135-137p pushing the RSI to likely be over bought, with a fall back to around 130p to unwind to then have the room to go on to 142p." (25th aug)

It closed at 137.2 the RSI was 76.62, so the rise today to a sell price if 140p was perfect. I sold some then and have just bought back in at 132.55. (It could well fall another 2 or 3p but the spread was tight so o am happy at the buy in price)

Apre: "Apologies to others also but I believe my investment in Avacta is worth protecting."

What exactly do you think I can do? I am going to go round your house and nick your share certificate? For goodness sake, exactly how old are you?

Was I not protecting your investment when i highlighted the shortcomings of the LFT?

You really are beyond help

Very boring Apre.....no ones interested n yours and a few others, petty vendetta.

But if you keep attacking me I will defend myself. The ball is in your court as it has been for a very long time here in your deliberate attempts to contrive discord and clogging up this BB

Apre, 2 years ago I started posting that perhaps all was not well with the LFT.

How, in this instance being correct, makes it the negatives you assign to me?

Shares can go down as well as up. Pretending that any talk of any SP decline makes the comments as FUD etc etc is simply childish and petulant.

Jack, I get you don't think it has merit, but its just an odds game.

Its not predicting a certain outcome but through interpretation, attempting to put the chances of short term rises or falls in some sort of likelyhood of outcome. That interpretation is based on crowd psychology and is a developed area of academic research.

Thats all. No big deal.

The idea Jack, from a charting pov is to get in prior to news breaking rather than wait for said news.

This is not something that affects LTH as they are already in but for shares to continue to rise (which long term holders want), then new buyers need to be found and attracted to the stock. Obviously on official share re-rating news, the stock will rise but if there are indications to get on board prior to the news then that if successful, allows greater profit.

So, its just a different approach. (I may have mentioned previously that the news and the SP action (charts) are intimately entwined and not two separate bodies working independently of each other

hi dai, I don't (because I can't) "trade these types of stocks per se.

They are too small, loss making, subject to crucial news being leaked to interested parties, and hinge on an unknown outcome.

On the other hand as a stock/sector they are exciting and have potential to make quick appreciation ( yet 2 more reasons not to trade them.)

If the individual really feels the need then I would have very small amounts of the portfolio invested in them as the risk reward and therefore potential loss are too great.

The worst part is say the individual bets heavily they will come good and they do, then what? hold for more gains or sell? and if you are smart enough to sell, then what find another "hidden gem" only you bet all your innings on it so you can make even more?)

I have dabbled with HE1, and lost more that I made. Was deluded into (thanks to LSE BB's amongst other things) that ADV was a slam dunk, and again lost more than I made due to the inability to trade it after the fall.

I was fortunate to have kept losses well within my personal parameters but I hope all here realise they are gambling in the "worst" sense of the word.

You have no inside knowledge, the BoD are unreliable in their accuracy of info, have no idea of the financial state of the company and have no idea if even a drill will take place.

I have a small position that is fun money to play with and the chart does "work" for these companies, but if news is bad you loose too much without any mechanism available to mitigate catastrophic losses on the original stake.

That is the nature of the sector. I am amazed that so many PI's so readily buy into these high risk minnows, yet at the same time understand completly why they do.

Good luck,