Member Info for wyndrum

How can it be I was looking backwards when I said AVCT had missed the LFT boat months before it dawned everyone else?

Nothing wrong with having convictions, its just yours were wrong and to this day you can't admit it, which again is fine, but when it comes to stiff neck you could try winding yours in?

I suppose you would still have us in lockdown today then?

As we know out LFT did not work on omicron so all the army and lockdowns and banning travel completely and bankrupting just about every single business in the UK would have been pointless when omicron turned up, or would still be in lockdown now in case someone brought it in?

And what about immigration how could we stop the illegal influx let alone the necessity of the legal intake?

Your simplistic one sided look at the whole subject is unfortunately typical of your bombastic air of superiority that you like to dress up with irony, but still inevitably still makes you wrong

Ah Mockery ... I see.....

If you really want a laugh go and check PL's posting history during 2021. I started to (I randomly chose page 30 ), but every single post shows how wrong he was about the subject of the day which was the LFT. According to him, Its a miracle anyone at all is still standing in this country let alone globally)

For someone who could be so completely wrong in their analysis.... how can I put this..."he’s proven how useless he is"

So when it comes to clogging up the BB, is it just possible that if the "brains" of this BB could just not take these childish potshots at me, then I would and indeed could not, respond. (Has the penny not dropped that it does not bother me?)

I am aware that occasionally, (Riply, our busy, life changing contract award winner builder, in particular, makes me smile with his fantasy world he shares and that I comment on). But other then that this always starts simply because I have the temerity to post a AVCT related view on this BB.

well you would know, Tim

Sorry Strangy, I have already forgotten any comments you made

Just so I am clear Apre, I have been posting over the last couple of weeks specifically, but months in general, that I have been buying in and around these levels.

Today I post that I don't think these new lows are caused by shorters but just by macro market conditions and that imo there is no AVCT-specific underlying cause for the (relatively small) sell off.

And that makes me sort of FUD spammer?

Apre,

Is it possible in your opinion to post anything that is not "positive" about AVCT that would not be classed as manipulative FUD?
Its an important question because if you can't give an example then you limit the conversation to a lop sided and biased view of a 2-sided coin.

Forget the history of LFT in particular but just the general thrust that it was not possible on this BB in a reasoned way to discuss the other side side of that coin.

That can't be right surely?

Apre, I am not giving advice and I was clearly talking about the wider market and the very reasonable reasoning that in this macro environment SOME people will be taking some money out of the market.

This was in direct response to a poster with no evidence or reasoning that was assuming every fall and resulting lower SP, is the result of "desperate" shorters.

My view was to explain my take on the fall. I was not suggesting anyone sell AVCT. In fact I was trying to get across that the fall is not directly attributal to AVCT and it is simply caught up in the wider market and therefore there is, imo, no need to worry or be concerned over the current SP.

Still you carry on doing what you do along with your pals.

"Now the excuse is keep silent so the long term holders can argue amongst themselves and come up with rumours why the share price is getting hammered! (Desperate stuff)"

I don't think its shorters that is causing the fall because they would have to have a lot of fire power to continually take out an increasingly risky position over the last weeks and maybe months.

To short now from 100p or so, would have to mean they know the trial is failing and they don't , and every factual indication is that it is succeeding.

Looking back at the chart since april,there have been 2 short lived spikes to around 140p with a more consistent top of around the high 120's

So really we are looking at an approx 20% trading range which on a stock like this in the current macro market environment, seems to me reasonable and not showing any undue need to look into this further.

Previous to the last update there was a legitimate argument to perhaps think that further funding was an imminent likely issue but that has been pushed back beyond trial results so that is (imo) unlikely now as a driver to falls.

My take would be that there are some very strong headwinds to the market now such as turmoil in the bond market, a govt that is also in turmoil with an unclear direction presently, the Ukrain/Russia war potentially escalating the West's involvement , high inflation, rising interest rates and potential Pension problems.

As a result it would be prudent for some to take some money out of the market now to buy back in if just any of the problems affect the market particularly adversely.

Whether or not the SP will fall further I have no idea, but I don't subscribe to shorters or MM.

And yet again riply highlights and draws attention to negative info that is not even on this BB.

It just seems very strange that he scours the SM to bring to everyones attention the other view at every opportunity.

Remember he could post his "positive " view without the need at all to reference and link to the Twitter feed

It seems odd to me.

Morning fromage, you use indicators in conjunction with chart patterns rather than in isolation. Also remember its an odds game not a prediction set in stone. Thats why in TA you have risk reward ratio's and (usually) tight stops,

So you don't take a bet unless you see the target appreciation being (typically) at least 3-1 or greater to allow for bets that even though the odds were in your favour, don't pan out.

Each to his own . Cheers

Fromage it was (RSI) 20.37 at 117p in March 2020 have produced the classic reversal RSI pattern with a RSI at 12.81 127p a week or two earlier.

Like all TA patterns they don't fall into a "perfect" alignment that often so you have to pull the trigger when you see them and keep your fingers crossed the odds play out in your favour. GL

It was tradable Ade as it turned out but NYCT was the one for sure!

So who knows: its a risky thing these bio techs but if they get it right then its good news and then some!

(Again fwiw I see GLEN going to its all time high in the next 3 months though.)

Well, typically I try to identify stocks that will do ok in the current environment (whatever it happens to be).

Then I look at the chart and suing very simple support and resistance lines with the RSI to time entry and exit.

Some stocks don't quite deliver but If I think the story remains coherent then I will continue to hold. (AVCT is a good example because it had THE test to covid, but ultimately could not be produced cheaply enough. This was a by product of its longer term cancer therapy and now its almost time to see if that works (forgive for banging on about it, but it is a good example where and the reasons why, I break my own rules).

I find the RSI very helpful and use the range of 20-80 as the extremes rather than the oft quoted 30-70 range by TA books.

So I have made it very mechanical, very unemotional and its just about the SP. I am not wed to any particular company just its SP prospects (as inteperated by me.)

I will immediately sell if I think i have got it wrong and just as quickly jump back into the same stock if something has changed. (Each trade is a separate transaction and irrelevant to the last)

I also hold a number of less exciting stocks (like GLEN) that should be solid and throw off cash, for the long term and like the divi income.

Anyway, GL

Ahhh right..... well, Check out AVCT. They will post results on their ongoing trial which has so far passed all the small test by constantly increasing the dose of their treatment. (It could go a long way to "curing" cancer.

It has a 40% upside just on its trading range and is at a support level currently. Who knows where it could end up....

To get 10% every 3 months is some annual return. So if you regularly achieve this then you don't need advice from anyone. GL

BY WHEN!!!!!!!!!!!

Sorry, but all I wanted to get from you is what sort of a return (in percent) you want and in what timescale, ie 1 day, 1 week, 1 month, 1 year?

I don't know why this is such a hard question for you to respond to but hey ho

suggests to me, that the MM's have no stock.....

Its a swipe at the silly insults relentlessly aimed at me on one of the more successful readers of the SP on this stock over the last couple of years.

(it could be you are young and feel you can waste time.... that will change....)

well, good luck although I still have absolutely no idea as to what you expect and by when?

(I mean, do you really think GLEN, on a PE ratio of 10, forecasting ever more record profits is now in decline?)

well, all I know strangy is that I am not underwater including my recent buys thus far, on this stock and have banked good profits over the longer term. So perhaps short, rude insults, though above my head as you think, have not much affected my decision making.