Member Info for wyndrum

Ripley is making a number of assumptions. The major one being that the SP will rise.

There is no guarantee that the price will rise. If based on past experience, if a 5th DE is announced then i would expect a muted response (based on DE4) within the SP.

Another assumption is that people who are selling now want to buy back in later. That may not be the case.

Even if some sells now are with the intention of buying back later it could well be, they want to bank whatever profit they have made now, and then even if it is 150p or more, will go into a new trade at this higher price perhaps thinking there is less risk going forward with a more likely result of a much higher SP.

There are many alternative scenarios whereby the current actions are logical and well thought through. (There will also be some who have made an error being overly emotionally driven.)

gmcc "Company Fundamentals do matter ; Potential company assets value is all the counts then the SP will react accordingly ."

Of course they do, but I try to get in before the SP reaction to maximise profit. (Isn't that the whole point?

And is that not what you are doing now? the news is not out but you have bought in already.

We really don't have to argue about everything

Jive, i am not arguing about why demand can increase the price, just reminding people that the buyers will be trying to force the price down. Its only when sellers agree to it that it does. If they don't agree then the buyers have to make a decision whether or not to pay more.

Buyers (try) to force the price down sellers (try) to force the price up

Hi Watchman, I use the term oversold from a TA pov. Right now its approaching over bought territory (I imagine you are looking longer term than me.)

My view is depending on where it closes today, might given an indication over the next few days or so where the oscillations might occur.

Ah Speranza...Your history so illuminating....
(Aug 24th )

Little stock available and no one selling. Higher lows and higher highs for weeks. Add the fact that we are expecting data and you see the reason for the move today, as traders started buying in

"Little stock available and no one selling."

So sellers not selling, forces up the price........ Who knew...?

wrong..? ok....not according to my bank balance...

Thats not important however, I am surprised that when you buy big ticket items you don't ask for a discount.

Is that so, or when you buy something do you ask for a discount or go online to see the cheapest price you can get the same goods?

(this is hardly breaking news....and you think I've gone wrong...)

oneknows...really?

When you go to buy a car or house do you immediately offer more than the asking price or do you ask for a discount?

Supply and demand.

Buyers "demand" a lower price. Its up to sellers (the suppliers) to agree or refuse.

If the buyers did not ask for a lower price than the SP would not fall...but they do.... If the sellers agree to this lower price then hey presto.... (this is very basic stuff I know).

If the sellers could develop a bit of backbone and just say no, then we would be fine... but hey ho...

The price goes up because the sellers believe they have something of greater value than the price being offered by the buyers, that then forces the buyer to decide if they want to pay more or not.

Buyers force the price down and sellers force it up.....(Obviously at some stage you get equilibrium and the deal is done)

Jimmy, given its your first post, its an odd one to say goodbye when we never knew you were here?

I understand that many here are not interested in TA and dismiss it.

However, as I try to point out, it is just crowd psychology at work.

It topped out at 132p which is a bit lower than the old 137p high as well as the 142p.

Thats when the sell off started and clearly the sellers were anxious to let the shares go. Whether or not the 95p allocation has been a contributing factor is hard to say, but clearly no one had to wait for the allocation to sell. If you knew you were going to get at least your entitlement at 95p then selling that amount straight away at 132p say, knowing it would be replaced at 95p was again a pretty straight forward way of making money. For us smaller holders it perhaps was not worth it but larger shareholders clearly were given a license to print money.

(For the last time (promise), its buyers that force the price down which is why you keep seeing more buys then sells in down days.)

well...1000p has arrived. 1150-1192p is next but there is going to be some ups and downs first.

Gets a bit choppy now for looking for potential fall back prices. there are numerous prices it could still rise to before retracing.

It will unfold in its own good time but we will see where it closes today as that might give a clearer picture, but personally i am quite happy to ride this out for now and see if it can get to the next target and more importantly, if it can, how quickly.

Fingers crossed it does not fall any further.

Plus I bought some at 119. 89. seems a good opp, better than I had expected.

well, 117p can be seen as a support and it tried a few times to get there but attracted resistance so I thought the odds looked favourable that a low has formed.

Fingers crossed

oh no!!! don't tell me AVCT shares can go down as well as up?

This has got to be a shock to some here for sure.....

ha ha....., and you don't think people are predictable....

"They’re panicking because the SP is falling back before they get the chance to sell. I hope we hit 94p before they land."

The generosity of your spirit never ceases to amaze me.......

WM, the cost of watches seems to be keeping pace. 4 yrs ago I bought a Seamaster on the cusp of the latest model being released and had the choice of which one to choose the latest "Wavy" face was £3600 and the "old" one (which i preferred for cosmetic reasons was £2900. Today the Seamaster is over £5k .

Its discretionary but its quite the indulgence if money is tight, not so much if you are comfortably off. This market is for the comfortably off.

My concern is how the "high st" fares generally rather than the customer base. The business model is on the shop buying experience.

Right now that is not being flagged by sales.

Cheers

true WM, but this is a tough environment for overheads and its cyclical so it won't last forever. The takeaway for me is the robustness of the sales. (its when sales start to falter the OH's come more into play,imo)

"You’ll get dim wits saying well why isn’t it £5 now and the point on us being unknown is key. We need press coverage along with data. You can guarantee large pharma will be watching and I wouldn’t be surprised if we had a number of TR1 for significant new shareholders on data release. "

So WE ALL know it works but clearly you don't think big pharma does as they will not buy until they see the results.

Wow, it must be great having all this top secret info... shame its not on twitter, linked in, various blogs, & other BB's otherwise the shares would be £5.

Under your logic the Pharma's won't buy until they see results but they do buy out other small co's when still developing a product so whats the problem here?

I can't wait for your next installment !

(PS my view is that they don't "trust" AS pronouncements based on the recent past and will want to see the data first that can't be exaggerated.)

hmmm...it looks like 1000p is in play now as the next target. Thats 10% away so its not beyond the relamss that it could spike there today.

The hmmm.... bit is that it has had a good run up to where we are now so there is (imo) an equally a good chance that these results are already reflected in the current SP.

In any event I think we are now on a support rather than a resistance level.

Should be interesting to see where we finish by the end of the week. GLA

Sorry that was a typo:

"Funnily enough Stodge that exactly what I wouldn't say....