Member Info for wyndrum

Thats too bad because (and here's news), the tone in which I post is only in the imagination of the reader.

As an example: Some people sometimes think Tim is being factual when he is being sarcastic. That makes them think Tim is an idiot.

But who's fault is that? Tim's or the reader?

Just imagine if the condescending tone you imagine I use is (Shock, Horror) not in fact, my intention?

really, my put downs!! ha ha like what?

You don't think I take some stick here then? :0)

if many here are going to continually ridicule me and the merits (or not) of trading, then I can't quite see why pointing out when it works is such a big deal?

I don't understand why Is it so controversial to try and exploit opportunities to make money through the AVCT SP movements

Don't know where it will bottom out (poss the dreaded 142p but hopefully not and I don't think it will), but having sold some this morning bought back in at just under 152 for an extra 5% of stock on that trade

"Also right now at 161p the stock is starting to look over bought so some will take their profit and look to come back in slightly lower down."

Kenyan,

200p is only 30% away. Thats easily a one day move.

This stock is not at the stage of slow and steady growth.

Its going to be news driven for the next 18 months (if it stays independent), so whether you like it or not, its going to be volatile so buckle up and enjoy the ride.

Hurst, For a start I am not a day trader.

"However if you do your research in a stock and the sector, you will find the best strategy in Avacta for quite some time, have been never to sell, take advantage of days when the market got it wrong..."

Ok, well not for me, but each to his own. (And fwiw, I never take the view the market gets it wrong, because I don't know how you can know that, and further you have to know then by implication, when the market gets it right, which again I don't know how you can know that either.)

for the last 9 months the SP (up to this week) has occillated between (roughly )100p- and 135p

That 35% spread has allowed traders to trade this stock. Its been fairly predictable and reliable and profitable.

The breakout preceding this rise was last week where i highlighted the odds based on TA suggested a rise was likely

If you are LTB&H then none of this is relevant and I appreciate that, but to say its the best strategy in front of those large recurrent swings is I think, at least debateable.

Yes Don but for your post to be "clever" it would need to be accurate.

Ah Tim: "Sealioning is a type of trolling or harassment that consists of pursuing people with relentless requests for evidence, often tangential or previously addressed, while maintaining a pretense of civility and sincerity, and feigning ignorance of the subject matter."

So being Civl... what does that mean? I have to be rude? When Hurst or anyone comes out contentious comments I cannot ask for any "evidence" ?

And feigning ignorance on the subject matter... I can't ask posters who have actual knowledge of the industry how AVCT news might pertain to AVCT specifically?

The term sealioning is simply a very recent made up concoction to shut down any alternative view. The fact you can't recognise that or continually brand every post I make with it, proves the point.

Hurst, you do realise almost none of your posts ever refer to AVCT?

None of your predictions on daily buys and the price the SP will trade at, have EVER come true. Not once

Your posts are deliberately misleading in forever promoting an imminent rise in the SP that NEVER materialises and on ridiculous "size of print" and "NY influence" which again is simply deliberately misleading.

If anyone was paid to continually falsely pump the SP your posts fall into that category with always no reply to any other posters responses.

Or perhaps you have got the wrong BB?

ES, thanks for the advice.

Long term this is likely to be huge.

However the "unknowns" are, the longer the trial takes the longer (all things being equal) it takes to monitise the tech. The longer it takes the more the coffers run down increasing the need for more money.

The science day has been seen in some quarters as code to fund raise on the back of such great news.

So in the short term, given the company is valued at £400m, there is some uncertainty as to what the near term news will be and therefore the SP direction will be.

Also right now at 161p the stock is starting to look over bought so some will take their profit and look to come back in slightly lower down.

I am still trying to figure how there could be 6 price monitoring extensions for only a 14% rise on RNS day. HARL was up 30% in a day yesterday with just 1. Very strange.

Don't anyone get their panties in a wad, I'm simply trying to suggest what might be bearing down in the short term on the SP.

Personally I am expecting a buy out once this phase is completed

fwiw reversals are always the hardest to pick, or to put it another way the signs are less reliable.

Anyway, the recent low at 23.9 rsi 19.06 has support of the RSI being below 20 suggesting an upward move was most likely which indeed has happened.

There is a tentative RSI pattern which suggest this is in fact a reversal. A close above 32.5p would add more support to the reversal.

if yo want to risk it now then your stop would be 23p. the target price would 45p/46p so currently at 28p to buy you would risk 5p to gain 17p which is above 3-1 risk reward so thats ok.

Or you wait until 33p is breached and have a stop at 31p risking 2p for about 12p gain which is 6-1 risk reward.

You pays yer money and all that.. nothing is certain which is why you have stops so you don't incur too much loss when it turns out you were wrong. imo dyor etc etc

presumably we will be told what the increased parameters are for the 5th DE.

From there I imaging the 6th will be final one if he is allowing 6 months for the trial to finish.

It must be frustrating knowing now it works to put back the 2nd crucial phase another 6 months. Thats more people who could have been helped that will miss this tech.

Thanks Yanis...again...!!!

ah its Mr Pridictable.

Give it a rest, eh?

I have explained several times to you how it "works". You ignore it every time and just keep making the same repetitive posts.

You don't like charts I get it. You don't like me, I get it. Stop boring and clogging up the BB with your silly personal and pointless vendetta.

I can only surmise now that these are/were hedges for some bigger holders who needed to protect their investment should it have failed. Nothing else makes sense to me. In the great scheme of things these are very small amounts as shorts go, so it was an insurance policy.

As they are still there (and are still there by the end of the week), I think they will only go when the DE phase finishes.

well, it works for me....

Yesterday 165p became a real sticking point, which given the news and all the brouhaha, was hard to explain.

Anyway, looks like we are going to try again. Certainly it would be positive to break it, even if it does not hold, just the precedent of going higher will be a positive.

read this:
I don't use twitter and don't read what's on it.
I have not and never had multiple accounts.
I have been a constant shareholder from Jun 2020
My current shareholding is around 55,000 spread over 4 accounts
I trade around 30% of my holding as and when I see fit.
I see this as a de-risked investment with an expected buy-out offer in the coming months.

I wonder if this new DE was the cause of the delay?

In December he was ready to go for early Jan announcement and then shortly afterwards it was suggested/instructed that MTD was desirable/necessary due to the maybe even better than expected results?

The extra time now in p1a is in theory, a drag to commercialisation as its 1 year later than originally forecast before 1pb can start, but I think it makes an offer for the the company more likely then ever in the short term, certainly this year but probably within the next 6 months. (imo dyor etc etc)

6 price monitoring extensions so far (not sure I have ever seen so many in one day on one stock for such a small rise.)

Particularly as within a few %, the price has not moved since about 8:30 after the initial rise.

I am not one for conspiracy theories on this but I wonder if they are taking the shorts on to their own book at around this price and then will sell on at a higher price as the story develops?

Seems very odd to me. Still, every day a school day....

This is typical in my experience. Many are selling because they have made a profit and simply want to cash in as SP's can go down as well as up and don't want to miss out or see the potential profit evaporate.

Others may also do the above but believe there are better opportunities elsewhere.

This is where the "run your profits" part of "run your profits and cut your losses" adage holds I think.

There will be this natural volatility and churn but I think it is largely at the expense of the inexperienced emotional investor.