RE: COP28 diaries6 Dec 2023 15:20
I often wonder if the "sellers" of this stock fully understand the potential?
If MSC trial successful and the fuel is rolled out on a mere 70 ships, (around 10% of the MSC fleet), that would equate to around 1m tonnes of licenced sales. A £50/ton licence fee has been mentioned, so using that figure for easy maths, we are looking at £50m income for a company with approx. £3m costs per annum. While costs would certainly increase, say to £10m/annum that still leaves £40m profit.
Given these figures are for only one client/partner and only a 10% proportion of that client's current usage, the profits to be made on scaling up across more MSC ships, further maritime clients and other industries are mind boggling!
Should the expected December statement include details of future funding for such scaling up needs, then the cashflow anchor to the SP could be untethered for good. WHY would anyone sell now????