RE: today5 Mar 2022 14:29
Hi DM
Interesting week just gone; I’ve been watching from a far due to other commitments
You are right with the ‘buy the dip crowd’ some of these guys are going to lose vast amounts of money, they must have never seen company’s go bust before, to keep averaging down time after time is absolute crazy.
I got out of my S&P 500 ( 3 ULS ) + Nasdaq ( LQQS ) shorts on Monday morning at about 3% up, this was a little disappointing because overnight, when you cant trade, they were 10% up, but it was a gain
My BP idea didn’t get off the ground, BP announced they were dumping their Rosneft stake on Sunday before the market opened on Monday, so the shares got hammered straight out the gate, I did manage to grab a few % with a quick trade in and out on Friday.
Good call on SUK2 this week mate, must be up big time for you now, keep an eye out for any good news regarding the Ukraine situation, any hint of a ceasefire will bounce the market, knocking that one down
Funny you should mention Boohoo, I’ve had a couple of trades on that one last year, THG also, both very similar.
Many stocks deserve all that is coming to them but I feel Boohoo could be a slightly different story, the company is profitable, it is growing, and it has very little debt, but the market absolutely hates it, it has 6% of the shares sold short, every time the stock tries a run it gets kicked to death again by the market
The family that started this company has a large stake, add the 3 largest institutional holders to this equates to around 50 % of the stock, for me this is a no brainer, take it private.
Buy the other 50 % of the shares between them and tell the stock market to sod off.
I bet the owners love having their names dragged through the mud every other week in the papers, “ Billionaire owners treating people like ****e in their sweatshops “ etc. etc.
Their trading update is out next week, 10th March, definitely watching that one
I will also be shorting oil if it gets over $125, at that sort of level it will cause massive demand destruction. The spot price oil is the price you see on the news and in the papers that is the price for immediate delivery, traders don’t trade this, they trade on the futures market.
The futures market for oil is in backwardation at the moment which means if you buy oil for delivery next month it is cheaper than now, the month after is cheaper than that etc.
Oil for delivery march next year is $ 97, so the market expects the price of oil to fall.
Obviously when the market is trading these prices move all the time
This will be a cracking trade if they can sort out this Russian – Ukraine war at any sort of a amicable level,
Some of my favourite divi stocks have been beaten to death this week, I will start picking a few up soon, not as a trade, as a long term investment.
Keep safe
W.