Member Info for Velo

Haven't done a full fundamental research into Cranshaw's yet, but just ildly musing over it. This bear trend the SP find's itself in since the beginning of October - is the longest bear stretch so far this year. Indeed short bear trends in this stock have been noticeable by their short-lived-ness since the beginning of 2013! But this one takes the biscuit! Even when you factor in the past week or so's 10% or so rise, it's still not been enough to trigger charts into flipping over into a bullish buy signal. Trendlines are converging suggesting it's getting there - but taking it's own sweet time. Why? Too high PE rating? Certainly not because of results. Haven't yet read through the posts on here as I'm not yet deep into this share; but has a general consensus been reached as to why this bear run has lasted so long? ------------------------- 9 out 10 talking talking-dog owners say their pet prefers Cranshaws over any other AIM stock. When the dogs are asked which AIM stock is the best they all growl the same answer - Saus-ages! :)

Bought in recently. Surprised by the flat, level, table-top like, plateau this share often prefers. Checked back, and the condensation of the graphs flatter the table-top tendenacy of the SP when it's taking a breather. But it's there, time, and time again. Don't have another share in my portfolio with that characteristic. Disconcerting, but nothing more than a characteristic tendency of this stock, I think.

"What a very odd comment! " Hee hee!. Okay, I'll type more slowly in future. It might improve my posts.

Aha - it's been a voyage and a half, but thar she blows capt'n! Thar she blows. A sub 800p chance for a top-up hoving into view, perchance?

Al the markets fell yesterday on news of the falling oil price. Down to $63 pr barrel last I looked, don't know what it is currently. And the markets in the UK at least are all, to a man - down. To my left all 21 picks are down and lit up in red. Apart from two. As luck would have it, I have both of those in my portfolio. This one of course :) Not entirely unexpected. But the other, I'm surprised as hell that it's bucking the trend - Poundland, I don't expect it'll hold up for long - but GVC I have every confidence in bucking the market bear sentiment that's being fuelled by the oil price drop.

"... Is that Richard Griffiths, the 'city financier' that runs investment banks/funds? He bought big into Cupid in the summer....." Further to that post - If his selling was the cause of the recent small dip, hope he didn't funnel the proceeds into Cupid. It topped the biggest fallers of the day on the stock market, today. Charts now back to bullish on GVC. Previous small dip, SP meandering is, on TA's alone, over.

Getting mixed signals. On the one hand charts short term bullish. But on the other, longer term (prob because of that Griffith's fella) bearish signals. And yet trades table seems to be nothing but a sea of red sells today. (LSE even shows the volume totals table as NIL buys for today). Nil?!? SP unaffected. Moreover, the SP seems to be taking an extended breather this past couple of days, neither up nor down. Static.

... of the SP can not continue indefinitely. Been looking to top-up. Keep thinking 'too late now' wait for a retrace or breather to get a price that won't be susceptible to an immediate retrace after buying. But there appears to be no let up. It's just kept on, and on, going up a stair step at a time - relentlessly since late October. It's it's... well it's unnatural, that's what it is :) Anyone else looking for a top-up? Tactic's???

"Think your charts were telling you porky pies sir." - Not at all Chinner. They only record what's happened, not the future. They have absolutely no idea when interims are due to be announced. Or that the interims are going to meet market expectations. (Having to use braille to type this, as I've had to pluck both eyes out, after being tricked into reading a certain post below). There was not any previous hints of Plnd's figures being poor so I was going to buy yesterday morning but as I had to leave early, didn't dare trust to a limit-buy order, so paid a little higher than I wanted to. And today's result put that purchase into blue, (only just). And of course tonight's charts have now flicked over to bullish and have even triggered a buy recommendation. Thought they might do that after the interims. They'll do that charts - bearish one day bullish the next day. They can't foresee trading results - they can only record the reaction to them after the event. Just have to hope there's none of that buy-on-the-news-sell-on-the-fact, tomorrow.

'Fraid you can't read anything into that Chinner. If you look again you'll see it's designated UT - that Uncrossing Trade. It's just an accumulation of mismatches during the day, that have already been accounted for in the SP. Just a balancing, settling up a/c if you like. Curiously, I'm getting very negative bearish readings from my charts tonight. So I'm expecting the worse from the SP tomorrow - but If it goes against trend and moves up, then I'm regarding it as a bonus. This is unusual from the charts. With results coming up on Thursday I would have expected the old saying to come into play and the SP to rise as in: buy on the news and sell on the fact. Not the other way round.

Thanks for that link Gerinako. Is that Richard Griffiths, the 'city financier' that runs investment banks/funds? He bought big into Cupid in the summer. Here's hoping he needs the cash for other new investments, and not because he knows something. Until your post I was wondering why my charts had let me down so badly on this occasion. It's just him selling, not a proper change in momentum then?

Hool, I'm of the opinion, it hasn't gone well for them, the drop since they released their short into the market at the end of Oct, up until they reduced, would hardly cover costs, and any profit, so low as to make it a very risky short. They're now hanging with the remainder, for the trading update on Thursday. Can't imagine any other reason why.

Yes, this Thursday, the 27th.

gsdog, - I forgot to put a :) after that line. Unable to act on my charts on either of the two this morning. Rabbit in headlights syndrome? With GVC I got a better than expected price with the intention of selling, but impressed with the strength, delayed, and decided against. Slight rise in SP since (investors taking advantage of lower SP?) And same with that other one. Intended on a quick day trade on that, and make an 'easy' £1k profit but just couldn't bring myself to click the buy button. Too much over committed on it already. If I had, that £1k profit would have been done and dusted by mid morning. So a morning of ignoring my charts. Nearly always come off worse when I ignore them. Hey ho. Will GVC also, defy the charts? So far, yes :)

"perhaps you would be better off selling all your GVC, and buying more of your QPP as a safer bet." gsdog - I hope that was you being disingenuously sarcastic, and not offering genuine advice. As you prob know QPP is as volatile as an active volcano, the size of Krakatoa right now - and could kill worse than ISIS - or go on to make loadsamoney. There's no middle ground it's do-or-die with that one. Although I did post I had received a buy signal for it on Friday, the same day I received a sell signal for GVC. All the sell signals in the past 12 months for GVC have been small weak affairs with puny drops. Whilst all the buy signals have been quite generous - apart from 2 sideways buy signals (no system, even if it's the dog's gonads is better at best than 60% accuracy). GVC trendline has turned bearish. Volume has turned bearish, but with qualifications - it's a very weak bearish signal when it comes to volume. So, in effect, the momentum has just recently turned gently bearish, weakly so. (Talking myself into holding and topping up, aren't I? (Sometimes I think I use these forums as an open diary to myself LOL!) My problem is, that with topping up I've brought my buying-in price perilously close to being breached at the current SP position. Bought in this summer @ 457 Topped up @ 429 Again & 486 And once again @ 486 - All equal amounts. Shoulda gone nuts @ 429, but that's life.

Sorry, huge error - should have been - My charts have triggered a SELL signal . . .

My charts have triggered a buy signal since end of day Friday. Trying to work out how much further the SP will drop before either: a) Selling all now, locking in the profit and buying the lot back, further down or: b) if the drop is only going to be minor, then add top-up's as and when. Is it A) or to B) - or not to B)?

Sort of. You can buy them from today CONDITIONALLY, but not possible to buy them within your ISA or SIPP until 18th November, when UNCONDITIONAL trading is allowed. Your broker can help you buy them conditionally at 283p, but should Virgin cancel the float before the 18th, the shares become void and you will have to make up the difference should there be one, between now and the cancellation date. God, look at me, sounding as if I know what I'm talking about. P.S. Unless an IPO is of Alibaba calibre it's usually best to wait 2 months on avg, as more often than not the SP can drop first. Be interesting this one. The public at large thinks the sun shines out R.Banson ar$e - day and night. I've actually heard people say he works for the good of all, to which I reply you do know he's a MULTI billionaire, and came by that dosh out of YOUR pocket!

Were we... no....yes.... were we just subject to a.... was that a ..... yes it was, a tree shake?!?? How very dare they! Have you been watching the past fortnight? Since I posted on 4th Nov the SP steadily dropped away from 485's to a low of 470p. I wanted to further top-up, but lost the plot with the unexplained slide and I just went into rabbit in headlights mode, unable to make a decision. Past two days or so and the SP has climbed back up through the 470's to this evening's close of 485p - And that brings us back squarely - back to square one of Nov 4th! I say a tree-shake because I've just had the most extraordinary BULL/BUY trigger from my charts, confirmed as of today. So, (INMOnly) GVC may just have recommenced back on a bull run. 500p, anyone? :)

Here's a thought. The by-election darhn south where UKIP are expected to do well is in a fortnight. When UKIP won their first parliamentary seat recently the markets were down overall. Unbelievably one of the reasons given was sentiment change due to UKIP winning a parliamentary seat. The markets don't like the thought of a lean towards a growing UKIP influence. Maybe it's around that date, if a another UKIP win, that they're hoping to recoup their short? The mid price around the 28th Oct was 315pish. They have to close significantly below that to make it worthwhile. Today's current sp can't be making them very happy bunnies.