735p - Bad times back? - Not yet23 Aug 2015 23:11
You'd be forgiven for thinking that @ 735p It's as bad as bad can get and way, way, over sold yet again. Well, surprisingly it's not (oversold). Hard to believe but true!
(Previously it's not been uncommon to witness a higher SP than currently and yet classed as oversold).
On one hand impressive (on another, slightly worrying as it means it could be the 'true' market price). There are loads of shares this weekend suffering with an oversold rating that wouldn't have been, had the China calamity not climaxed by Friday.
Was sure RR's closing SP would also render it under - until I checked. Amazingly it's still showing remnants of strength (INMO) @ 735p.
It looks quite dramatic when the falling SP is viewed on a chart and looking more like the trajectory of an arrow heading for the the ground. It doesn't look like it's going to stop. But that's for next week. I'm talking about Friday night close. The SP we're at now, before business commences tomorrow.
Quite simply being above the oversold threshold at this lowly SP means (to me) it's not panic selling fuelled sentiment. If there is to be another rush for the exit, it has to breakdown through into that oversold threshold. As of Friday close that hasn't happened.
You can blame China, but it was drifiting lower before the latest geopolitical events hit heavily in the closing days of last week. So in a way, an oversold rating would be easier to handle in that you could make a fair stab at SP recovery.
It could also be argued that not being oversold at 735p is a bad sign for RR in that it's the market price and not a panic induced flight from RR - but my post would go on for pages if I posted all the ramifcations that - I think - are possible.
It would need to drop significantly more, before you could say RR sentiment had turned to oversold panic selling. It's trailing along near to that threshold, true, and would only need a few pushes lower, to tip it over the edge, but I'm gobsmacked that with all what RR has suffered of late, this latest China influence, particularly for companies with an international presence, has not yet forced RR to succumb, and remains defiantly not on the oversold limit, nor resting on the limit - but a notch or two above it.
Been out of circulation all last week oop north, and realised I'd been stopped-out with my holding in RR sold automatically when it spiked lower on Thursday. Bit annoyed as I don't normally use stop-losses, but it wasn't really a stop-loss but set a few pence above my buying price to cover costs and leave me with with all my initial investment intact (still haven't checked accurately as only back at base as of today).
Was intending to top-up on dips but I've been kicked out with my investment intact and a chance to buy back in even lower. So the question I have to answer is - is this China debacle affecting world markets a sign of worse to come or a buying opportunity?