RE: Market21 Jul 2021 23:50
Only thing deterring PE bids here is the debt pile. Even with that the enterprise value of the business is very low.
The enterprise value of the business you can essentially reverse work as follows;
Let's be conservative and round down adj EBITDA to $500m for the half year and assume no seasonality so double it for the full year. Debt pile is $4b. Current MCAP is $1.8b.
Enterprise therefore c.3x adj EBITDA (ish) for a recurring revenue software business. That seems ridiculously cheap to me and why I'm holding.
There is still a very real possibility that this gets subject to a bid / hostile takeover. I can't see the directors recommending an offer under Β£10 here.
Just my 2 cents.
Have a good evening, all.