RE: Lotus and Veloccette1 Jun 2023 03:38
Cenkos comment.
Lotus Rig Selected The Deepsea Yantai semi-sub has been selected for the drilling of the Lotus (Kjøttkake) prospect in Q3/24. Lotus is situated 4kms southeast of Longboat’s Kveikje discovery and is estimated to contain gross 27mmboe (Longboat net, 9mmboe) of gross mean prospective resources, with further potential upside estimated at gross 44mmboe. If successful, Lotus will form part of an area cluster development and would substantially add to Longboat’s existing discovered reserves in the area.
We reiterate our BUY recommendation and our 66p price target (comprising 41p of core and tangible business and 25p of risked exploration).
Lotus Introduction – Lotus is located in PL 1882 S, which was awarded under the Norwegian 2022 APA Licensing Round. Longboat was awarded a 30% interest in a firm well on the Lotus prospect, which lies 4km southeast of the Kveikje discovery and is expected to contain analogous injectite sands to the sand encountered in Kveikje. An exploration well is planned for Q3/24, targeting 27mmboe of mean prospective resources (9mmboe net) with further potential upside estimated at gross 44mmboe. The Lotus prospect has a Longboat estimated 56% chance ofsuccess, with the key risk being hydrocarbon retention.
Lotus Valuation – On a risk adjusted basis we value Lotus at c8p net to Longboat, using a 56% geological and 60% commercial chance of success. A successful discovery at Lotus would increase this valuation to c14p (net).