As predicted8 Nov 2024 12:56
No longer invested, got out a long time ago and was ridiculed. Pop in here now and again to see what's happening, very depressing. Hopefully some people took on board my prediction from well over a year ago when price was 2.8!
TrevorBrooking
Posted in: BMN
Posts: 1,124
Price: 2.80
No Opinion
RE: Loving Life & Mokopane27 Jun 2023 08:06
Coffeecups
My thoughts for the future:
I believe that production costs are still in excess of selling price (remember that prices have fallen by approx 14% over the last 6 months). Whilst they gained a cash benefit of around $8m due to selling down inventory, this will be eaten up in the current financial year by excess production costs. Where is the cash coming from after then? Another cash raise/dilution? Or sold to the Chinese on the cheap? Personally I think a sale is unlikely, there are too many PIs holding shares that will be unwilling to crystallise losses (after all they tell you only lose money when you sell).
Clearly you can only carry on loss-making for so long, although they do seem to have made a bit of an art of it over the last few years. This will only cease on significant price increases in vanadium. Despite all the claims that demand is/will exceeding supply in the market place, this is not feeding through to pricing. Is this due to a slower uptake of VFRB than anticipated? My take on it is that rise will come at some point, but this may be several years away and be too late for Bushveld. To my mind this is the biggest single factor in the future of Bushveld, and for now the pricing is going the wrong way.
Electrolyte - I see that as a white elephant at present, you would have thought that given it is about to go into live production that some sort of selling contracts would have been announced, we have heard nothing to date.
Mokopane; this has been mothballed having been bought at a cost of $68m. Part of this cost was provided against last year, I suspect the auditors will insist on further provisions going forwards. Although this won't have a cash impact, it will significantly weaken the balance sheet and therefore the ability to raise any required funding.