RE: The drill is turning9 Feb 2024 12:48
The POW model is that dividends & share buy backs will happen once there is excess working capital. The likely source of the excess working capital will come from fireworks within the IPO companies which POW hold substantial stakes in. Any successes, POW sell down their investments and take the cash back to the POW bank account.
Lets take GMET for example. Solid looking early stage Tungsten asset, $mil's of DoD funding arrives in 2024, Pilot Mountain is drilled and the Tungsten mineral estimate is enhanced. GMET suddenly a £100mil company. POW at that point my hold 50% .... sell the 50% of £50mil. That is POW's working capital requirements covered for many years. The excess will then be distributed back to shareholders. Of course, that is just one of POW's spin out companies.
2022 & 2023 have been awful years for the junior exploration market and therefore IPOs have been like tumbleweed. GMET one of the view few IPOs to go live in 2023 and are trading higher than their IPO price.
UEE & FDR will both be live this year, I'm 99% sure of that. It removes risk from POW, and gives them cash free rides in multiple exploration companies moving forward. You can probably add many more spin outs over the years too. If market conditions for exploration plays are more favourable, the spins out will happen at a faster pace too.
That is not to say that POW may have some commercial successes in directly owned assets as well such as Molopo & Tati. I personally prefer to see the IPOs go live as Molopo & Tati are cash intensive and higher risk. Taking GMET as an example again, POW do absolutely nothing and don't even open their wallet, yet they have a 61% claim to any GMET rewards in effect.
When you state below "The IPOs are doing well for pow's balance sheet yes; but that's not raising the sp at the moment." ... I read that as "HUGE BUY OPPORTUNITY". When the business is moving into a £35mil+ valuation with £500k in the bank and a handful of licences like in 2021, that is the total opposite of a buy opportunity, but that's the AIM punter for you.
Big money also moving in at the 1p zone as well as the well known successful investor Rick Rule taking a £1mil position at 0.85p last year. Both are also clear buy indicator for anyone investing logically.
Currently sat here with a large position now at an average of 0.81p. More than happy with Sean's performance to date in testing market conditions and the POW portfolio as a whole.