RE: Re Disconcerint matters21 Jun 2020 23:47
I agree re. Aeternum equity deal. Unfortunately it was a case of beggars can’t be choosers. ARS clearly needed the money to keep the lights on, and when Covid hit there were no other interested parties to create a bidding war. TM even said as much.
I asked TM about whether the Indo government were deliberately holding up the licences - he was adamant that was not the case and it was due to internal reorganisation/paper shuffling etc. I remain suspicious however. In the past ARS always got permits pretty quickly, and as soon as the AE deal was done the permits dropped through the letterbox. Definite whiff of backhanders.
The delay in the latest announcement can only be interpreted as the initial offer from AE being substandard. The problem for TM and ARS shareholders is once again that without other interested parties there is no competition to drive the price up, and also that the market cap is only $37m, so how can part of the business be worth more than a fraction of that figure.
If I were in TM’s shoes, I would publicly announce the offer from AE and then publicly reject it. Sets a floor on any future offers, boosts SP etc.
Having typed all this we will probably have an RNS in the morning. We can but wait...