Beaufort Securities - Broker note26 Oct 2017 11:21
Fox Marble (FOX.L 8.75p) � Speculative Buy
The AIM listed company focused on marble quarrying and finishing in Kosovo and the Balkans region, yesterday announced that it has completed its first sale of polished marble slabs from its newly operational factory in Lipjan, Kosovo. The material was purchased by Marble Dino Sh.p.k. a division of a large, local construction company in Kosovo. As announced on the 29 June 2016, the Group signed an agreement with Marble Dino for the supply of �1,500,000 worth of resined and polished marble over a twelve-month period from the date the factory became operational. Marble Dino is a trader of marble and other commodities and is involved in the purchase, shipping and resale of the material in the Kosovo and the Balkans. The first consignment, of just over 13 tonnes of polished slabs of Bianco Illirico and Illirico Selene material, was collected from the factory site on the 24 October 2017. The Company expects to continue delivering marble against the agreement over the remainder of 2017 and the 2018 financial years. A short video showing the operation of the polishing line is available on its website at
https://www.foxmarble.net/photos-and-videos/
Our view: More evidence that Fox�s revenues are set to increase sharply in coming years. Multiple order from multiple territories are now being quarried and/or undergoing value-added processing in its marble factory for both local and international delivery. The critical factor, of course, is conversion of the order book into sales and cashflow. Management has already advised shareholders to expects sales of around �2.0m for financial year 2017 (FY 2016: �801,040), but clearly, deals more recently struck with Marble Dino, OM Enterprises, Pristine Stone, etc. not only provide a springboard for much higher sustained activity from 2018E, but also provide a big �tick� of credibility for Fox�s offering as a good proxy for the highest quality Italian stone. With the Group�s multiple �teething� problems now dealt with, its state-of-the-art factory now has the capacity to produce up to 440,000 square metres per annum of cut and polished slabs; it also has stockpiled a large number of blocks, which can be cut and processed during planned quarry winter shutdown to fulfil orders for processed marble. The Group�s business model is based around a largely fixed cost operation, meaning higher activity levels will drop significantly to the bottom line. Indeed, Beaufort has long held confidence in Fox�s exceptional high grade, multiple type/colour dimensional stone (found on surface while remaining open at depth) effectively provides it with infinite resource to supply to a growing US$10bn+ global market. Positioning itself as a low-cost, high-quality wholesale supplier of choice with elementary open pit workings, low cost labour and excellent infrastructure against a backdrop of Kosovo