RE: Fly in the Soup?2 Sep 2023 10:08
Same SK, I think we at or very near the bottom. I was a bit early with the 470-480 call. Once I'd thought more closely, I realised that this type of trade actually normally rises a bit in the afternoon, but falls back the day afterwards. It hasn't really done that and Monday is a US bank holiday so potentially trading could be thin, although the major markets are GER/UK. Will be itneresting.
Diceman, the disparity between TUI and the others could be the Fund selling down at least 1.7% of TUI's shares. They may be still at it, although it would have to be at a loss now. That means either they are distressed sellers or they believe there is some bad news coming for TUI particularly. There has been no increase in Shorts on TUI so the wider market is not working on the principle that TUI is mispriced and due a fall. For me that favours the argument that the fund that is selling is doing so for other reasons. We'll probably never know what they are.
I think we're at or near the bottom and we will see some good rises in the near term.