Member Info for stokey12

Xenor ref 13.25 post You seem to be making an assumption that everyone who basd on prior or present performance that the SP might continue to slide has sold on the news. While some people may have done so there is no way of knowing if it is all of them, in fact I think it is likely not to be the case. It is certainly in my case and probably others that they are trying to show caution so that people do not think that the share price will spike.

I note that so far this week we have had one blue day and so far what is looking like two red days. That is a pattern that has been seen before on this share.

This from the UKDJ https://ukdefencejournal.org.uk/nato-to-discuss-accelerated-support-to-ukraine/

Xenor ref 10.39 post But revenues are not due in for two years on FSS and you have II who need to meet their quarterly earnings targets. So a company that appears to have one contract win every six months does not look as if it will make enough to cover its costs. I know that those of us who have done back of an envelope calculations have come up with £100k+ revenue assumptions. We urgently need updated revenue forecasts hopefully we will get a Q1 trading update at the end of March that will reassure the market.

Xenor ref 10.23 post With respect you are misstating what I said in my 09.35 post I said ' So there will not be any real upward movement on the SP until we see clear evidence of revenues coming in.' I then went on to say 'I am currently looking at September for that as we will have 2023 interim results by then.' That would be before HARL starts to show a profit. My point is that there is no evidence from a RNS of any contract win apart from FSS since August. So any investor will look at that and say I will come back in a year or so. Without buyers you are not going to get the share price rising and buyers will not start buying until we have evidence of contract wins and we do not have that.

jfk9 ref 09.17 post I actually agree with you as HarChris said in a post yesterday we have not had a contract RNS other than one relating to FSS contract for some time. I checked apart from the FSS Contract related RNS' there has not been a contract win RNS since August last year. Construction on the FSS does not start for 2 years which is when significant revenues will start to come in. Even allowing for the fact that the annual revenues will be in six figures you are not going to get II to sit around for two years for any ROI. So there will not be any real upward movement on the SP until we see clear evidence of revenues coming in. I am currently looking at September for that as we will have 2023 interim results by then.

Chrisatrdg ref 15.40 post I am not sure if my memory is going but did HARL attend this event last year to launch a shipping vessel service? I do not recall anything further about it if they did.

This is also worth reading https://www.offshore-energy.biz/construction-on-canadian-oil-project-set-to-restart-following-suspension-of-over-two-years/. From this article it seems that the drydocking might be for life extending work.

LSE03 ref 14.05 post That should all put HARL in goodstead this time around especially as it was finished on time. I note that the length of the drydocking is longer this time. I am trying to remember what it is coming in for I will do some digging.

Xenor ref 14.26 thanks for that. It makes sense now as the article I read which was sometime last year I believe said it was going to be a 70 day job in 2024. Also if I recall from some other reading I did at the time it would be profitable tender to win.

Kaeren ref 13.52 post I cannot get into LinkedIn at the moment but has HARL won the tender for the Sea Rose. If that is the case then that will mean that the revenue guidance will be met. I remember reading about this last year. Can someone post the LinkedIn article.

Xenor ref 12.47 I note that once again around 10am we had the share price drop. I have noticed this for the last week or so which makes it difficult to explain but easy to exploit.

Kaeren ref 12.26 post I think this is another thing we need to agree to disagree on. Part of the problem of course was in my opinion that politicians wanting milk the announcement for there own benefit made the announement of the manufacture too early. Ideally we should of had the announcement of the manufacture contract and the sub contract on the same day.

broomtree ref 12.00 post I am not sure if Gusto1 has worked out that if nobody sells and just holds there will be no shares to buy. It is self defeating to insult people for selling as without selling you cannot buy.

I have just seen this https://www.irishtimes.com/business/2023/02/13/harland-wolff-shipyard-in-belfast-that-built-the-titanic-prepares-for-relaunch/ It is a repeat of I think the FT article. I wonder if this is with the Stornoway Gazzette article an attempt at some PR which is coming too late to bolster the share price until the next contract news.

HarChris ref 08.43 post I disagree yesterday the SP went down and there has not been time to test that thesis. To properly test the thesis would need more than two days.

a third of today's posts are showing as green boxes it seems like there must be a lot of unnecessary ramping or as gusto1 refers to them motivational posts going on. Can we get back to discussing HARL?

Avyererdowt ref 08.23 post We simply do not know and it is not wise to speculate. The reason could be totally unrelated to HARL.

ForrestGump ref 08.07 post As most of the major shareholders are Investment trust thier first duty is to their clients. In discharging that duty they have to apply the trust rules and investment objectives. As far as I am aware they do not have any duty or obligation to support the companies invested in. Both Kave and Killik have made significant losses on their investments so I feel it unfair to say they are being treacherous in selling at a loss.

I have just seen this article and it makes me wonder is it possible for this kind of AI be used to influence what is said on bulletin boards like this one? Also how would you detect it if it was done. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-64464140

Medjed ref 19.28 post thanks for this I wonder what impact if any it will have on the SP.