RE: Gobi 1 = 10p plus22 Jan 2025 10:30
Won't be 10p plus
It's an educated guess based on MATD's history, the CEO's behaviour, and also clues from recent news flow.
Buck has literally declared that they will require more time and funds to fix Heron1, a sand screen is needed to test whether the resovoir sands problem can be resolved and higher flow rates can be maintained. This is just an initial statement stating that they will test the method assuming that it will work.
Heron2 no mention so either they need more time to analyse the issue or that the problem is too severe that it's beyond their capability or that the well is not cost efficient to fix. If they had good news you think they wouldn't be reporting back to the market.
Gobi bear is in a similar but worse position. We already know from the RNS that poor oil shows were logged. They haven't reported any progress on that neither suggests the well isn't commercially viable.
Here comes the main dish:
Buck must have signed the new Borzon Block VII out of desperation as so little has been produced result wise.
- Wild horse, snow leopard, Gazelle all dusters
- Antelope, V-Raptor abandoned (must be commercially non viable)
- Gobi duster
- Heron1 issues with reservoir sand yet to be resolved and flow rate of 200bopd yet to stabilise
- Heron2 wasn't commercial in last reported RNS
Without the new Borzon Block VII, there is nothing else to promote.
Potential plans for 2025:
Now that we know the position the company is in. It's only natural for Mike Buck to throw all his weapons at Borzon Block VII.
Borzon Block VII is his golden ticket to fund raising with many uncertainties looming around H1 and H2. All the other zones are lost.
Buck will first secure the funds in place, it's his job as CEO. Its an up selling strategy that he couldn't have done with H1 and H2 as we've all witnessed the poor results.
Buck will tell you how great the Borzon Block VII is, and how having it will create shareholders values.
The upcoming months it will be all about the Borzon Block VII. Buck will try to secure as much funds as he could. He'll then lay out the 2025-2026 plans for Borzon Block VII.
Heron1 and Heron2 have moved from being prioritised to now a side dish. We'll hear less and less about Heron1, and for Heron2 possibly never again.
The signs are already there. The fact Buck has declared the new venture rather than expanding on Heron1 field suggests that their estimates are off, and they have stopped chasing this field, at the very least no longer a priority.
2025 will be all about getting the funds and plans in place for the Borzon Block VII.