In-situ value versus NPV1 May 2018 21:08
I've had a few conversations about this over recent years, and it can be quite a polarising subject.
I believe In-Situ metal value is a very useful metric than an investor can quickly calculate to see whether there's enough potential to warrant more research.
Of course In-Situ value isn't the same as NPV, far from it, but in the absence of either a Scoping Study, PFS, DFS, BFS, then In-Situ value is the only number an investor can refer to.
Plus, it's a useful tool to quickly compare projects & companies, for example.
RGM
Mcap �4.4m
Motzfeldt $120 billion In-situ value @ 100%
Mambare $17 billion In-Situ value @ 50%
No NPV
MTR/MOD
Combined mcap �77m
Botswana $3 billion In-situ value @ 100%
NPV $281m
GEO
Mcap �14.5m
Kvemo $95 million In-situ value @ 50%
No NPV
SAV
Mcap �39m
Oman $129 million @ 51%
No NPV
Those figures aren't opinion, they're fact.
In-situ value doesn't account for CAPEX, OPEX, jurisdiction, infrastructure etc.
As an aside, calculating the actual metal content and value serves to make an investor realise just how much, or little metal there is contained in a JORC/ 43-101 resource.
It's a bug bear of mine, and just an opinion, but I'm fairly sure there's too many investors who don't understand JORC figures.
A recent GEO RNS's headline said...
"Georgian Mining Corporation ('GEO' or the "Company') is pleased to announce a 41% tonnage increase in the global In-Pit Optimised constrained copper-gold sulphide Mineral Resource for the Kvemo Bolnisi Project ('KB') to 1.7Mt @ 1.05% Cu from 1.2Mt @ 1.03% Cu. "
An investor might think there's 1.7 million tonne of Copper there, but we all know it means there really is 17,850 tonnes. Quite a difference eh.
Anyway I digress...
So whilst In-situ value isn't to be confused with NPV, nevertheless it is very useful to calculate.