It’s incorrect (for what you are trying to portray). You can’t use the Crude rate for this.
The Infextion rate is running at over 5 times that tested in the U.K., so in other words, actual infections are 5 times higher. This has been shown within ONS statistics and modelling. For example63% of all 14-24 year olds have been infected.
Jtom, I’ve got absolutely no need to be “educated” thanks.
This virus needs to be allowed to go endemic. If you are vulnerable, stay at home out the way til it is. I’m meeting my legal requirements. That’s where my responsibilities end. I’ve got absolutely no skin in the game in stopping spread. It’s a pointless, economically cratering activity that is completely the wrong approach. The more spread we have amongst healthy people the better
Since the initial American wobble and market closed Fauci has being on tv and is much more upbeat. Moderna Chairman has also been on saying that there is a good chance they won’t need to develop future vaccines… possible dip on open as trades placed after close overseas go through… but doubt with Wall Street op it will last.
Oil is down on yesterday’s price when compared to U.K. close but up when compared to US close.
The problem is the rate of growth of the rate of growth - a bit like the acceleration rate of Covid cases.
Whilst 1-2% of Covid tests are positive here, 12%are there. So it’s likely lots of cases are being missed.
It’s looking likely that the latest variant is significantly more transmissible than Delta and the baseline R value will be increased again, even compared to delta. It interesting however that a single death has to yet be discovered.
In short, whilst their case rate is much lower, the rate at which they are catching our case rate up is rather worrying.
The thing though is, its only a general rule that Viruses become less Severe with mutation. and unfortunately, covid has in fact tended to increase severity across mutation.
What bothers me is this. Africa is characterized by a population that has an average age of 65. Because its highly unlikely you will get to 80 with all the AIDS, Ebola, Malaria, Dysentery and the like floating around. The West is characterized by lots and lots of dead epidemiological dry tinder. Millions of frail, NHS over-kempt geriatrics that would pass away if a strong breeze hit them. Lethality is a combination of both transmissivity (which in turn defines how quickly geriatrics over run the ITU wards), and Severity (which defines both how likely you will become symptomatic and also how likely younger people will also get sick once they contract covid). A small increase in transmissivity, mindful of how frail some of these old b*ggers are, could result in a drastic increase in hospitalization and general national bedwettery. whilst the BBC video the only 33 year old with an oxygen tent on their head across the whole NHS, whilst omitting to mention they have a BMI similar to that of a London double Decker bus.
Ion my 40s and have many years under my belt in engineering, operations, senior management and now statistical data analysis.
You have got your head so far up your roughneck backside you don’t seem to understand that BP will not exist by 2050 if it simply continues to produce fossil fuel related energy. A diversified portfolio will stop frothing from autistic children like greta, provide a decent ROIC, as well as allowing BP to use the excuse of “well, we are using Oil derived revenue to help develop a greener future”. Governments won’t oppose that, as it means they don’t have to fund transition, private sector will.
50 is getting on a bit. Hope you’ve had your booster chum.
The bed wetters are going to be in force tomorrow. South African daily positive test rate has just doubled in 24 hours, from 4000 to over 8000 cases. Scientists will get a real Lob on for this, using limited data sets to claim that the R value is 20 billion squillion and WE ARE ALL GOING TO DIE!