Member Info for skier1

The "cyclical downturn" claim has been posted here many times. The "big dividend" claim is another gem. All while the shareprice has collapsed -60% in a few months... Been calling this one down since £6, in the face of considerable abuse, and it keeps on plunging, down and down, week after week... EVR is now in the 200s, as predicted, when many folks denied just a few weeks ago. With so many bearish signals, in a mostly bull market, similar to Thomas Cook's downtrend, the market is starting to price in a death spiral for EVR. Investors have to start thinking now about a scenario to 0p.

If we look at Thomas Cook, we see the shareprice collapsed at roughly the same speed as EVR, plunging -60% in 6-12 months. The red flags are piling up here. Plunging commodities, shrinking economies, death virus, giant spending spike coming up, dividend cuts, etc. The market is pricing in a death spiral. Don't be blinded by the (greedy and wasteful) dividend.

Given the incredible speed and size of the collapse here, from £7.10 to £2.90 in just 9 months, almost unprecedented for a FTSE100 share in a (mostly) bull market, you have to start thinking now about whether this could go bust. The market is pricing in a scenario where the China death virus and global economic recession push the firm to collapse.

This could potentially hit 0p within months.

As predicted, EVR plunging into the 200s. Shareprice is in freefall. Nobody wants to catch a falling knife. Dividend cuts on the horizon, profits collapsing, revenue plunging. Charts are looking for 250p as the next stop.

As predicted, here come the UK airline bankruptcies...

FlyBe has gone bust.

As predicted, there's the Dow 1,000 pointer. Happy days.

As predicted, EZJ continues to slide, due to the China death virus. European capitals, like Milan, are empty of tourists and businesspeople. Travel is collapsing. Wizz Air is now slashing more flights. This looks set to slide into single figures, under £10, any day now.

Looks like hundreds piled in in the last few minutes of trading to grab the fat dividend :-)

Dow market volatility right now is about the same as 2008 credit crunch and 9/11 in 2001. A proper bull-bear fight taking place.

So... what you're saying is the taxpayer should hand you free cash to save your failed "investment"... Sounds good .

Could be another 1,000 pointer on the Dow today...

As predicted a few days ago, coronavirus has peaked in China (~90% of cases) and the worst is over, and NCYT is crashing.

Can't believe this one is being pumped! ESL has unbelievable 9 x debt, the Stobart brand is trashed, and foreign rivals are getting ready to pounce on their pain and pile into the UK market.

A lot of folks got blinded by greed here.

It was clear from 40p that SXX was a dud. A tiny firm out in the sticks was never going to raise billions for a project bigger than the Channel Tunnel. It has taken quarter of a century to build 3 miles of tarmac at Heathrow, and it is still 10 years away! Britain is just not suited to these "grands projets" and it has neither the culture nor the appetite nor the cash to fund a giant tunnel dreamed up by a lone-wolf CEO oop in the poor North.

This was a classic deep hole in the ground with a showman on top and "investors" poured money into it, never to be seen again.

"I fear the bloodbath will be much longer than a few months maybe come back in 5 years .The pill should have been swallowed in 2009"

Nah, the Shanghai stockmarket is already back to pre-virus levels., and China accounts for ~90% of C19 cases worldwide. The Dow will bump around for a few weeks, but some rate cuts, quant easing, tax cuts, subsidies and free handouts before the US Nov election will see H2 2020 deliver a V-shaped bounce. Unemployment remains very low, inflation is very low, the world population is growing, and consumer debt is lower and way better managed than 10-15 years ago. The doom and gloom has already lifted in China, and it will soon lift in a few weeks in the West.

Will the Dow see a 2,000 point fall in 1 day... or a 1,000 point rise... Seesawing wildly...

Dow is swinging wildly up and down today. Have not seen such volatility for years. Market is not sure what to make of the Fed's emergency rate cut. Is it a smart, early, proactive, prevention measure? Or a panic measure, forced by Trump in an election year? Market (so far) sees it as unnecessary panic...

Surprised anyone has been investing in the FTSE100 since the 2000s. The index is a dead duck. No tech firms, no software, no big ecommerce, no electric cars, no stuff for the future 21st century. It is packed with old relics from the previous century, like tobacco and highstreet banks. Anything remotely futuristic gets sold off abroad and the skills are moved outside the UK (like Just Eat). Not to mention the ridiculous culture of overpaying dividends, at the expense of underinvesting in R&D, which just compounds the problem. Relentless short-term ineptitude is delivering long-term failure in the FTSE. The index is dead.

Lol.

Nah, been posting here since ~40p and 2018, in the face of considerable abuse (and even a death threat!). Didn't just turn up overnight. Gonna watch this one until it hits zero. A lot of aggressively naive and very greedy folks out there.

To be fair, the top ~20% in China are getting pretty savvy about the outside world. They have VPNs and Twitter. China is changing.

And China is not alone. Western governments also censor (or suppress) quite a lot of stuff. For example, there is a top politician in Scotland at the moment trying to stop a big story getting out.

On a separate note -- Dow futures are currently up 100-200 points for Tuesday.