RE: A 1-2 year view20 Jan 2023 11:25
West6809 Fair comment, and you make some good points which I largely agree with. A large gripe of mine as you know has been the management of this company. To be fair, certain circumstances have been out of their control, as demonstrated by other online retailers' equally disappointing results. Nevertheless the sp was in freefall for ages while the ship was rudderless. I blame a lot of my loss on them. We still have a temporary CFO, leaving soon, and a promotion within CEO who has suddenly seen the light with cost savings of £300m within a year. The plan looks promising and I agree if it comes to fruition, your target exit point is, in my view certainly better than 50/50. There will be hurdles ahead. There is a rumour of more large jobs cuts. I see 2023 as a time where they make to make the business leaner and fitter for the future. Also, many online retailers took the high street for granted and assumed traditional retailing had gone forever. While there is no question that the internet has changed the way we shop for good, the high street is evolving too with many outlets seeing large growth in sales. They may be late to get on the train but these companies are now switching to hybrid models, diversifying their business and not relying on just one stream. They should not be ignored. They will fight to retain market share. It's interesting how I've only really just realised just how susceptible online retailers are to things outside their control. Unforeseen circumstances. Eg, Royal Mail strikes, Cyber attacks etc.
I also see that B of A have marked up the prospects of ASC and Boohoo today. Even they say they might be early to do so, but on balance they are probably right that this is a good entry point if one is prepared to wait a couple of years. I haven't read their full comments yet but I believe they've stressed one caveat.......that these online retailers deliver on their cost savings this year thereby ensuring their future. Finally, as I've recently said, it would be a good sign to see the Directors showing a bit of faith in the business by purchasing the shares.