RE: Message for Bricks25 Jan 2022 12:48
CHRI5P I have been trying to estimate what might be a ball park % of Toral to be yielded (if this does prove to be the funding solution). Worth considering that in the PEA we had metal in the ground valued at US$ 962m. Since then the total resource has increased from to 20Mt from 17Mt in the PEA. We should bear in mind that there has been a 55% increase in indicated and a smaller increase in inferred so the increase in value of the total resource should be greater than the 17.6% increase in total Mt's (indicated being more valuable than inferred). I have tried to work out what the metric for this is looking at slide 13 but my brain is aching. Anyway even if you just go on the 17.6% that makes an extra $169m giving total $1,131.3m. Then if you look at metal prices, the PEA used:
Zinc $2668/t
Lead $2009/t
Silver $16.5/oz
Interestingly when TP recalculated total revenue on spot prices rather than the conservative trailing average they upped us by 8.5%, worth noting that they used $2,943/t for zinc our biggest earner, Zinc is now $3,616/t, Lead also much higher, silver a little lower than the TP recalculation. So overall I think their 8.5% back in July is already looking very conservative particularly on Zinc now that it is considered a critical metal in the US as well as the EU. So even using this now outdated multiplier I think it is reasonable to assume we have metal in the ground well in excess of US$1,227.5m at today's prices. Of course this is an 'in the ground' figure but we know we are a low Capex, low Opex prospect, the big question is what % of our currently wholly owned resource needs to go in order to raise a realistic sum to fund this to a BFS?