RE: Rig I presume there!12 Jan 2021 14:32
I disagree with Marmaris on his forecast on timing to spud. I'm not convinced he's followed the evidence that is publicly available from Alaskan sources. Because Deadhorse is only 20 miles or so up the road, management previously trailed the possibility that much of the hospitality part of the camp *may* not be required and that crew can be trucked or bused in from Deadhorse and can use the commercial facilities there. If this proves to be the case, I'm sure Marmaris will agree that a portion of the prep time will not, therefore, be required.
We also suspect strongly, due to evidence of the Dalton road closure advisories, that the rig arrived the pad sometime in the morning of 6th January, Alaska time. That's 5.5 working days ago.
All taken together, I suspect we're looking at a shorter timeframe to spud than Marmaris estimates. We'll find out soon enough. GLA