RE: A few thoughts24 Nov 2021 21:23
7) SeaHawk, Mon 11:29: Thereβs a really good reason you expected me to pop up in response to this ridiculous post, SeaHawk, and hereβs why. You appear to be an unsophisticated investor which leaves you, rather farcically, βback seat drivingβ the decisions of management without having access to sufficient information to make such a call. I found myself laughing at your gall as you βshoulda, woulda, couldaβdβ your way through this post, all the time reinforcing your lack of knowledge of the sector *and* of the negotiating process. Letβs have a look at your ill-educated yet bizarrely self-confident points, shall we?
(i) ββ¦.they should have just got on and done it late summer.β Ok, so they would have needed to raise $50m, agreed? At what price? 40p? 45p? 50p? Your fellow shareholders wouldnβt have thanked you for that extra dilution, would they? I know I wouldnβt have been too chuffed. Or was managementβs time better spent preparing for the August webinar and disseminating the PANR investment case in the US and UK? Or perhaps their time was better employed negotiating with interested farm out parties, getting the dataroom full to bursting with top quality data in order to keep those interested parties at the table and to ensure a genuinely competitive process as various potential partners vie to become PANRβs partner?
(ii) ββ¦if anything it puts you in a far stronger position.β Yes, I accept that *could* be the case, but thereβs no guarantee of that result. Potential farm in partners *could* argue, with sound mathematical logic, that if PANRβs BoD only values its equity at 45p, then they, as potential farm in partners, need not pay any more than, eg. 40% of PANRβs mkt cap at a 45p SP for 40% of the assets. How come? βWell, in your latest raise, prior to any news of a farm in, your own BoD valued the assets at x pence per share. They know more than we do so why would we not just pay the equivalent price for y% of the assets? Thus it could be argued that a late summer fundraise could have established a ceiling to any potential farm out deal.
(iii) ββ¦.should have put an end date to the negotiationsβ¦β Really, SeaHawk? And how do *you* know they havenβt done so? How do *you* know if the terms havenβt already been agreed but, say, thereβs some regulatory oversight by the US Federal govt and/or the SoA which has to be completed prior to any announcements? Maybe the favoured farm in partner played silly b^ggers at the last minute to sweeten their side of the deal and the Short Term Facility was the BoDβs answer to such a bluff? Who knows???
Iβll tell you something I know is 100% definitely true, SeaHawk. Itβs that you do *not* have access to the information required to make the ludicrous, and absurdly self-confident, claims contained within your post on Monday at 11:29. Oh, and another thing. Iβm delighted youβre not on the PANR BoD.
(Part 4, continued above)