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Agreed Jaxon. I now hold around 60% CREI to 40% API as there is still risk that the deal won't complete. Its been quite a profitable time trading between the two. There have been some mad movements. The end game is close though. We should find API getting closer to the .78 of a CREI share. How close depends on how much risk in the deal people see IMHO.
Meet in the middle is somewhere between 71p (current API ahareprice when factored) and 76p CREI. Then API at a .78p multiple discount to that. Of course it may easily move back above 79p CREI as soon as the API shorters close out. US shorters have been attacking UK REITs for the past 2 years. I assume that you actually own shares here? LOL
GLA
That's simply incorrect. Assuming that this deal goes ahead the two share prices need to meet. API needs to go up, or CREI needs to come down, or most likely they will meet in the middle. When the deal completes is the fist you'll know of how the market will react. Give it 3 to 6 months and it will become obvious that the combined company is far stronger than the sum of the parts (IMHO).
Very pleased with today's update. They are correct in that, personally I still want exposure in this market, and prefer the CREI offer precisely for the reasons given.
Some way to go, and SHED may still enhance their offer to make it more compelling.
Looking back at the last dividend, the FX rate HL used was 1.262, which using Google data appears to be in the FX range on the 14/12. So I assume they use the FX rate at the time the payment is made to your account. Petrotal do not issue FX rates for dividends unlike some other $ shares I hold.
CREI was moving up with the expectation they would win as the deadline was approaching. Now it looks like SHED are intending to make an offer. My guess it may be higher than the low ball initial offer they made. Still hoping CREI win.
Probably won't find out until Thursday morning. I expect an RNS then, if not tomorrow as SHED have made an offer. Personally I think they are simply kicking the tyres with a derisory offer. It has allowed those with shorts under 0.5% here more time to close. Just my opinion. Nice to see us getting a bit of value back in the share price.
"Pursuant to Rule 2.6(d) and Section 4 of Appendix 7 of the Takeover Code, the Panel Executive has ruled that, unless the Executive consents otherwise, Urban Logistics must by 5.00pm on 13 March 2024, being the seventh day prior to the date of the Adjourned Meetings, either announce a firm intention to make an offer for API under Rule 2.7 of the Code or announce that it does not intend to make an offer for API. This deadline will cease to apply if, before that time, a third party other than Urban Logistics has announced a firm intention to make an offer for API under Rule 2.7.
Each of API, CREI and Urban Logistics has accepted this ruling."
That report is 4 days old, and the incident a week ago. Providing safe drinking water while the spill was contained and cleaned was important. I note we were not at the government meeting on the 9th, where I dare say the focus was on the reason for the accident and to put in place necessary mitigations for the future.
Hopefully everything back to normal in the area now.
Been watching this for a short while after the recent fall. Decided that now is a good time to start building up a position here for the future.
The buy backs are a good use of funds, given dividend is 2x covered.
Having a government more committed to carbon neutral will help. Its on it way.
GLA