RE: Demerger12 Oct 2024 09:29
Jockbob, gut feel is we'll be much better off sticking with Ingenuity, especially when they look to relist on NYSE in 5 years time...
Relying on re-rating of RemainCo to fair value based on reasonable EBITDA multiples with minimal capex spend. Shame about debt but reduced leverage from transferring lease liabilities to Ingenuity should make refinancing the debt cheaper. Maybe that's why they've kept the debt in the group...
Reading between the lines, I think the board are suggesting:
We've done what shareholders want in demerging Ingenuity, but we've done it on our own terms (I.e. to the benefit of shareholders who remain in both RemainCo and IngenuityCo).
I suppose it makes sense, we get the flexibility of transferring shares from IngenuityCo to RemainCo, but there's a price for that value and flexibility.
All feels underhand and has certainly been done with questionable timing (with minimal capex left for Ingenuity), but it's not as if they're taking Ingenuity away from us and giving us no choice.
Different people will have different exit requirements and timings, but the board were never going to make it more desirable to transfer shares away from Ingenuity.
Think it's important to know that Frasers are now on board at this valuation. By giving Ingenuity up now, you're basically selling at the same price as Mike Ashley is buying, and he rarely gets it wrong.
Despite all this, I currently despise Moulding as I think this share price drop has been orchestrated, but I'm not letting him steal Ingenuity away from me.