RE: RNS Update Early Nov - NOW!8 Nov 2024 11:54
I don't agree that without H2 being commercial then we'll 'definitely' need another raise. Mike Buck specifically said he wants to avoid this, and I believe him. He is a shareholder after all. For me, it would signify that the rollout at Heron would likely be slower. Build the income up over a longer period, get H1 up to a maximum output using stimulation and opening the chokes when it is safe to do so which would be a very healthy Bopd given that we know it flows to surface freely at 821. This then will allow the company to apply for some modest borrowing, or may even generate sufficient disposable cash to pay the $4million for the next Heron well. I'm not saying this will happen but its sufficiently plausible as an alternative to make the latter neither 'defiinite' nor inevitable. Plus there are numerous other scenarios which might play out; a loan underwritten by the Mongolian authorities who clearly like the idea of oil, and revenue, starting to flow; a farm-in by DQE or an other, especially now that we have proved the viability of the field and the amount of OIP is quite large; maybe even an institutional investor who fanciers getting in on the Mongolian energy scene at a very early point of entry. Who knows? But no. another raise is not a definite althought I would add that if a raise did occur again, at least it would be for reasons accretive to company's value and growth rather than for keeping the lights on. If it's not, then it wouldn't be necessary as even modest output from H1 would be more than enough to cover the comapny's running costs. Quite a healthy position now we have income, in my view.