RE: Running on fumes19 Nov 2024 09:35
I also think once they saw some ambiguity with the H2 results, and realising that H1 would pump big numbers with a pressure management system installed at the well-head, that they took the strategic decision to re-direct the couple of million allocated for H2 to doing the work on H1 to get it fully pumping asap. They'll come back to H2 with the funds from the sold oil when the season starts up again and they clearly think that the sign-off from Mrpam to sell the oil will not be too long in arriving. I'm pretty sure that's been the thinking here. H2 has good oil shows so suspend and come back to it, and focus on getting the 'enthusiastic' (Buck's word) H1 pumping as much as possible. With a fair wind this strategy should bear fruit and give us good income through the winter. I repeat, there is no real reason to think a raise will be necessary. A loan, hopefully of a RBL type is more possible or even some support from the Mongolians themselves. Think of all those happy officials having their picture taken in front of a pumping H1- imagine the egg on their faces if this doesn't play out in the way they were hoping now. Wrt winter, let's not get too carried away with considering it - we are looking at less than four months from here until winter is considered done, and there's plenty of newsflow probable between now and then, including developements at Sunsteppe in Q1. The company is in the best position it has ever been in and is literally ready to take off.
And no debt.
Let that sink in.