RE: MAR 1716 Jun 2025 14:56
If they had to do it they would have done it in the well over a year that they have had. It ain't happening. Ive asked AI why solgold haven't done this. Here is the answer.
SolGold doesn’t update its PFS with current spot metal prices for several strong reasons rooted in best practices and financial prudence:
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🔁 1. Long-Term Price Assumptions for Technical Studies
PFS (and DFS) are based on long-term consensus forecasts, not volatile daily spot prices. For example, Cascabel's 2024 PFS used copper at US $3.85/lb, gold at $1,750/oz, and silver at $22.50/oz .
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⚖️ 2. Stability and Credibility
Using long-term price assumptions:
Avoids bias or cherry-picking based on temporary market highs.
Aligns with industry standards and lender/investor expectations.
Supports reliable project financing, permitting, and stakeholder confidence.
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🌀 3. Price Sensitivity vs Spot Basis
Spot prices (e.g. $4.70–$5.00/lb Cu) would inflate the base case, risking significant drop if markets correct. To reflect upside, SolGold includes spot scenarios in sensitivity analysis rather than in the main PFS :
The 2022 PFS sensitivity shows NPV at various copper/gold price deviations.
In the 2023 report, they illustrated an “upside case” using spot prices (e.g. $4.74/lb Cu), separately from the base case .
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📌 4. Regulatory & Reporting Requirements
NI 43‑101 standards require using forward-looking forecasts, not spot prices. Additionally, SolGold states it has no obligation to revise base case assumptions—even if spot prices rise .
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✅ Conclusion
SolGold’s decision reflects sound financial practice:
Base case: stable, safeguarded long-term forecasts.
Upside captured: through sensitivity scenarios and supplemental case studies.
Spot prices: are used for illustrative upside—never as the primary assumptio