Why The Gloom?9 Jun 2025 09:58
i expect someone has already done this and i missed it, but just in case, some *** packet calculations.
when the om annulment news broke, sp was flying high, a very positive new reserves report, shenandoah about to produce first oil and not a care in the world.
then the annulment news and we all lost our minds.
many had been dismissing om as a mere side-show, so why such a flap after the announcement?
if the announcement had been positive and rkh received the €65m for tranche 2, add to that the €19m received this time last year for tranche 1, then pay zodiac €5.5m to wind up rkh's italian affairs, and the 10% to 15% tax that sam believes would be payable on the om award income and we would have had about €70m net - very nice.
instead, we received €19m last year, we expect to receive €31m now (instead of the €65m), pay zodiac €3m and no tax to pay on the €31m. surely rkh can't be made to pay tax on an insurance payout because rkh didn't receive any income from its om activities, which would have been taxable? my *** packet says that leaves us with about €47m.
ok, €70m is better than €47m (by €23m actually), but in the greater scheme of things, is it that a catastrophe?
something we have forgotten to mention is that instead of saying 'you can forget about an annulment as that will never happen', sam took it as a serious possibility to the extent of investigating the options to safeguard rkh should that happen and paying €4m of rkh's cash reserves for the insurance premium, just in case. think it deserves a mention - maybe i missed that too?
if rkh management can anticipate that outcome and take action to address it, don't you think the same management hasn't left everything else to look after itself do you?