RE: Rockhopper2 Aug 2025 19:12
Sorry if I am being slow, but I am still re-reading the latest RNS, trying to put it in perspective.
I get Space's irritation at the apparent privileged disparity between Israeli investors and us mere shareholders, but some thoughts spring to consider:
- I suspect all at RKH were stunned by the annulment decision, when the almost inevitable OM €65M seemed 'any day now' and, with a bit of luck, just in time for the AGM.
- What do do about it? Once Shenandoah is in production, Navitas will be pushing for SL FID and we don't have the money - how long have we got and will the insurers pay out the €31M (which won't be enough)?
- We don't know what else was/is going on behind the scenes to occupy RKH management without distactions like this.
- Even during the AGM, the RKH sp was slipping on the apparently cautious/disappointing sentiment, with FID slipping further into the autumn.
- Having been in the 50s in May, on 27/6 (AGM Day) the sp closed at 49.2 and month-end 47.10.
- My guess is that RKH management had to show itself to be decisive, without any more funding disappointments.
- AlmaCogan's post: "But why Israel investors for the free ride mainly" - Because Tadmor told them to do it. But Tadmor also appears to have offered the means of resolving this very quickly, so that RKH would be ready (and more) for FID.
- Setting this up will have taken some time, even if less than a rights issue.
- By mid-July the sp was around 60p, so a discounted 53p isn't as spectacular as it seems now. How many of us anticipated the sp rising to the mid-70s (and almost reaching 80p) by the end of July?
- Sam said that if funds needed to be raised, it was important to be over-funded than under-funded and perhaps he has other plans than just SL FID.
- Sam has stuck to his commitment of not reducing RKH's 35% of SL. Any percentage relinquished of RKH's 35% would be worth a lot more after 1st oil than the paltry $140 raised now.