MSCI World Index has averaged 10% PA since launch in 1969. Shares you've got to get your timing right otherwise you could wait years. From the chart in top right , Add to this chart ,select Equities ,UK Equity then add some shares . All is total return so dividends are in there. Stretch the chart say 10 or 20 years just out of interest. You'll be surprised how many are poor longer term.
https://www2.trustnet.com/Tools/Charting.aspx?typeCode=NM990100
Sullysworld and retirment I agree with a lot that's been said here. First off the share game can be a disaster if you don't do any homework. Many don't even on this board but have rewarded so best of luck. Remember the poor poster who sold recently as they needed a deposit for a new home. Could say shouldn't have been here in the first place but still very unlucky. I agree a global tracker fund should be the basis of a portfolio and a few shares alongside . Get rich quick well good luck.
M&S was actually on a forward P/E of 6 when it was out of favour but the media and others can put you off !! I've been looking at JDW, AO but no decisions yet. Builders and Rightmove will come back there ain't enough homes regardless. Lgen has gone sideways for 10 years chartwise.
When under £1 analysts were forecasting this months results for end of 2024 and there was no statement form the company either. Recently the company issued new forward guidance and as a result everything has been pushed the other way . Shares have rocketed. SMR's what's the instant profit I've no idea. ? I'd like to understand more.
Analysts have regrouped and now EPS for 2025 is 13p the highest I've seen since posting this link. Dividend of 3p 2025 and net debt as low as £500m . Orders well it's always been the case with RR and huge order book. Let's face it the turnover is £16bn forecast soon so you need a constant flow. So the question is how much is baked in ? 350p is around the original high ( accounting for 3.3 rights issue) but I would imagine earnings must improve further for that ? If 13p for 2025 is near the mark then 350p/13 =PE 27.
https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/ROLLS-ROYCE-HOLDINGS-PLC-4004084/finances/
What to do sell some and move on ? Up to yourself but there's plenty of shares that have made 50% in a year always been like this. RR has been exceptional and a rare moment. I doubt anybody would have expected this years move after the burning platform comments.
Breakout on volume increase chart here.
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/inverseheadandshoulders.asp
Similar on SP500 last year..
https://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=Index&symb=US%3ASPX&x=63&y=4&time=9&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=4%2F13%2F2019&freq=2&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=0&maval=10&uf=0&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&type=4&style=320&size=2&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=11
Better view of RR in weekly timeframe. I said on another thread we were at 150 in OCT 2021 so todays action isn't huge considering it was nearly two years ago. Note the recent breakout on higher volume.
https://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=Stock&symb=UK%3ARR&x=58&y=16&time=12&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=8%2F5%2F2021&freq=2&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=0&maval=9&uf=0&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&type=4&style=320&size=2&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=11
To the moon then ?
https://www.centralcharts.com/en/gm/1-learn/7-technical-analysis/27-chart-patterns/516-inverse-head-and-shoulders
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F26SLdhWgAAFkT7?format=jpg&name=900x900
https://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=Stock&symb=UK%3ARR&x=61&y=9&time=12&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=8%2F5%2F2021&freq=1&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=0&maval=9&uf=0&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&type=4&style=320&size=2&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=11
Not an expert on charts let's face it who is ? Chartists and traders get it right and wrong. Well it's certainly showing a bull flag pattern but for how long short term. ?
https://www.chartpatterns.com/flagsandpennants.htm
Short term indicators are overbought.
https://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=&symb=UK%3ARR&x=0&y=0&time=6&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=8%2F5%2F2021&freq=1&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=1&maval=9&uf=0&lf=32&lf2=256&lf3=4&type=4&style=320&size=2&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=11
Seasonality chart...
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F2r2PhqXEAE7lGW?format=jpg&name=900x900
Depends how you look at it. Done well this year but from OCT 2022 only up 50p from 150p to 206p. Never a straight line so it's only normal we have a bit of profit taking.
https://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=Stock&symb=UK%3ARR&time=10&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=8%2F5%2F2021&freq=1&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=0&maval=9&uf=0&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&type=64&style=320&size=2&x=61&y=11&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=11
Careful what you wish for with rate cuts. That probably means there's trouble in the economy. Can't be any good for shares.
Idea is to get rates above inflation hoping it acts as a buffer. Been like that for decades US and UK as below. US rates are today above inflation but not in the UK.
https://www.economicshelp.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/inflation-interest-rates-1945-2011.png
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FYDN7BzVUAAsgbc?format=jpg&name=medium
Now then those flat spots on the chart are Fed pivots and those grey vertical lines are recessions. So they cut.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FFP3od-VUAEH44b?format=jpg&name=medium
Look at stocks falling around the cuts. No investor wants that.
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Fed-Funds-and-Bear-Markets.jpg
Always make a note where the US markets are at 4.30pm UK finish time. Yesterday the Dow was around 35400 at 4.30. Overnight the futures were lower and early today 8am 35150. UK markets followed as usual . Set to 1Day or 1 week.
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/stock-market
£7
LTH's are underwater and badly. Who are they anyway ? They should come on here and explain how they've made a return on RR. They must have been trading to see a profit. Set this chart to ALL so it shows 1987 onwards. From 1987 to 2004 the price is still below the issue 185 p ? From that point until 2013 at 1200p that's the only profitable window. Huge slump since then and down under £1 as we all know. Punters or traders have jumped onboard in the last few years seeing the potential upside. Nobody can blame them as RR became a recovery stock. I'm expecting many to take profit as we go alone. I've done exactly that a few times recently . Worked at RR so I know a bit about it all. Good luck punters and traders.
https://tradingeconomics.com/rr:ln
What's going on.? Set this to 1 day . US markets run the show in general. They've been strong for weeks so anything can happen in the coming days.
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/stock-market
https://tradingeconomics.com/spx:ind
It just seems to be something in the air atm, but more so about the timing should be on Thursday.
Yes all that rain. They'll announce it'll be sunny the rest of August and lift the shares to £2.
The majority of peoples pension plans are in funds as many get a matching contribution from their employer eg. £300 a month individual and £300 matching from employer. So £600 a month and you've only contributed £300 minus 20% tax relief or £240 . No brainer that.
Funds are less volatile and many people can't handle a 50% crash in the market which do happen over a few decades. What chance would they have in individual shares which can move 50% in a year. Just look at RR. Basically shares are for traders, punters hopefully with a bit of knowledge regarding company prospects . Many don't even have that but that's the way it goes. Don't bet the house on shares . Spread your risk .
Easiest way to invest in funds is in a tax wrapper, SIPP or ISA. Buy a global tracker as the fees are generally cheaper. World Index has averaged 10% since launch nothing spectacular but double every 8 years. Many active funds don't manage that over decades so don't be fooled about the advertising out there.
https://www2.trustnet.com/Tools/Charting.aspx?typeCode=NM990100
https://monevator.com/category/investing/passive-investing-investing/
Up from 143 to158 in a week ,nearly 10%. That's a years gains in normal times. Can't expect to fly to the moon every day. US markets ,Dow Jones, up for 11 straight sessions most in 30 years ?
If this works it works ? Short term tops and bottoms with indicators. The tea leaves !!
https://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=&symb=UK%3ARR&x=0&y=0&time=6&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=8%2F5%2F2021&freq=1&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=1&maval=9&uf=0&lf=32&lf2=256&lf3=0&type=4&style=320&size=2&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=11
For the first time in 4 years since I've looked on this link at forward earnings the EPS is 10p for year 2025. Basically £7 or 700p divided by eps of 10p = P/E 70. One of the most expensive stocks in the world and even on the Nasdaq standards eye opening. It's not realistic unless a dramatic event unfolds. All I can see from the forecasts below is steady increases in Sales, profits, earnings and cash flow. £2 might be more realistic.
https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/ROLLS-ROYCE-HOLDINGS-PLC-4004084/finances/
Https://i0.wp.com/monevator.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/solar-wind-nuclear-2022.jpg
https://gregor.substack.com/p/monday-chart?r=2elk
If this is accurate then it doesn't appear the world is preparing for more nuclear. ?
From here look at Economic Data and there's a new release on the 6th JULY. Figures going up.
https://www.iata.org/
Anybody fancy having one of these SMR's over their back garden fence ? End of the day they're only the size of a football pitch and can be installed in a year or so ? Safe so they say. Not for me I'm afraid I'd rather have some wind turbines out the back even if they do hit the odd sparrow hawk. Wonder where they'll go ? Any nice little spots near the Thames ? Probably near industrial towns ? Maybe they are basically safe but not all of the population are. Just my view anyway. At the end of the day what is the profit for RR out of all this ? Does it move the sp to £5 ? No idea tbh. Not the end of the world to RR they survived for decades without them.