RE: Citigroup14 Dec 2023 15:23
New Analyst - seems to be forward facing.
"Shares in The Hut Group-owner THG PLC (LSE:THG) jumped over 4% to 85.72p after getting a new 'buy' rating from the analyst taking over coverage of the online beauty and wellness retailer at investment bank Citi.
Monique Pollard, co-head of the investment bank's European internet research team, said she is "encouraged by improving underlying momentum" in the group, led by the THG Beauty arm.
A return to sales growth of 4% at constant currency rates is expected in the current quarter, rising next year to 10%-plus, the analyst predicted.
Revenues were down 5.5% in the nine months to 30 September, according to a recent update from the company, which revealed declines in all areas of the business in the third quarter but a return to constant currency growth in September.
Pollard forecast an expansion of gross profit margins thanks to reduced whey prices in 2023 for its nutrition business and "more normalised" Beauty manufacturing margins in 2024/25.
This, along with continued control of operating costs, underpins Citi's forecasts for operating profit (EBITDA) margin.
Based on these forecasts a sum-of-the-parts valuation, helped by improved disclosure on profitability by business segment, results in a share price target of 110p, offering potential upside of over 30% to the last closing price of just over 82p."