RE: Cannacord19 Dec 2021 06:10
Part 2
It means any good reservoir below the Decker D seal is going to have oil, the defining quality is reservoir porosity and permeability.
VAS again has proven the samples taken both contain oil, and that oil flows when the pressure is lowered.
I hesitate to bring 88es Merlin 1 results in for the flack it attracts, but as a comparator it suits.
Merlin 1 took 48 samples, only 8 had oil detected, and these were all within identified reservoir, nothing at all between reservoirs, so no regional seal. They depend entirely on individual reservoir seals.
This is all getting a bit long winded, in summary.
I don't think the 81.5% discount can be justified, because the VAS data is completely independent, and highlights an oil column 3700 ft thick.
This seasons results should confirm the quantum of commercial oil.
As an after thought
I do see the risk that the identified "subjectivity" referred to may be in the analyst, but still contend the risking is excessive