Been away18 Sep 2016 10:09
Just back from a holiday so been trying to digest the news. What the board seems to have done is a deal that if all else doesn't work, then the shareholders will still get a return on their money. Almost sounds like an inbetween deal, with more to come. But that 'more' could take a while to sort out.
Looking at a poor scenario I think i3 will want to retain 50%, we will have invested $1.4m out of $50m. So about 3%. Divide by two as only for 50%, leaves us with 1.5% of an IPO at $400m. Which is $8m dollars or £6.1m. This equates to around 0.28. That is just on IPO, can only assume once production begins and the business is up and running that $400m increases (which I assume is planned pre IPO to eliminate any market uncertainty on flow rates, logistics, poo etc). Also i3 look to want many assets, this is just the start. Yes that might mean more dilution but will always add value and immediate value going back the business plan. Amanda will probably be key in the funding and I think she will be our secret weapon to getting great deals for us by getting so much money in from elsewhere. Jaap - maybe seeing this as a great investment and taking a more back seat? Who knows.
It might take a year but if a low case scenario works out at 0.28 (I accept its fag packet/bit of conjecture) then I think we can all be very happy.