RE: Blue touch paper31 Oct 2020 15:03
It is interesting pondering how this share will go. Presumably if the mine was not viable the govt wouldn't have had so much interest in it.
If EMH was being sold off, they wouldn't bother listing on the Czech market. The government wouldn't want that unless it would be a massive success, but wouldn't want the price to escalate until complete.
This is arguably one of the most politically manipulated shares I've seen in recent years, but there seems to be an agreeable timeline of events planned now.
Listing "this quarter" implies by the end of November to me, otherwise they'd say "this month". Fingers crossed.
Once on Czech Market, Czech govt will be merrily ramping the living Christ out of this share. As the largest potential in EU, this seriously must be in the 50-100ktpa range. I'm a bit fuzzy on what the margins will be, being a cynical old fart I suspect the first 25kt will be dedicated for CEZ at "mates rates", with perhaps the 2nd and 3rd phases going onto the commercial markets.
In terms of SP, if we are being royally shafted this is a £1+ share by 2022. If we are not being shafted and the Cexchs truly want to enrich their citizens, £7+ by 2026.
I can't remember the last share that had such wild potential and controversy!