YOUGOV a sittIng duck at this valuation24 Oct 2024 10:55
There are 2 things in play, market fair value, and then FV on a takeover, IMO for Yougov both materially higher than todays price.
IMO Market FV is significantly higher than todays price. Then on a takeover, Yougov is a great asset, and value would be higher still. At just £450m market cap, this is waiting to get snapped up. They paid 315m EUROS for CPS only several months ago, having raised at £9.20 12 months ago, sounds crazy today.
Whichever way you break it down, its hugely undervalued, and you get a small dividend here whilst waiting for the rerate. On odd occasions the market throws up opportunities like these where the valuation is totally out of sync with actual real world valuations.
Hence why the likes of Hotel Chocolat, Darktrace, Royal Mail, DS Smith, Hargreaves Landsdown etc are gone, and attempts on THG, S4, Rightmove, Wood Group, Mulberry, CABP, Tate & Lyle, Currys etc, to name just a few. I am super confident, we will see a takover offer for Yougov soon, Yougov is a sitting duck at this level.
There medium term target is £650m revenues with a 25% profit margin, if they achieved anywhere close to this, share price should be many many multiples from here. Within a few months, this will look like a gift, same as CABP (I called out the CABP takeover morning before the takeover RNS release! Lucky). Got over 100% return there.
Hypothetically, 6 months ago, a takeover at say £12 would have been balked at immediately, if a £12 offer came in today, wonder what the institutions holding decide?? (PI's are always insignificant, no say). Therefor 6 months ago £12 wouldnt even be remotely possible, but today??
https://fortune.com/europe/2024/03/01/british-companies-have-gotten-so-cheap-40-percent-less-than-peers/
https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/markets/article-12756949/UK-companies-sitting-ducks-takeovers-global-giants-fund-manager-warns.html