A risk worth taking26 Feb 2022 11:48
Firstly. It was great to see the board become such a supporting place of warmth and comfort on Monday. Fair play to you all. I reckon it really helped a few people that day.
A failed P3 trial and a European Land War is quite a week. It has take me until Friday to digest it all if I’m honest. But here’s my opinion FWIW.
I spent 18 months building a stake in SNG. It felt bl00dy expensive. To see 25p this week was tough to take. But I now look at what amount I can buy at 29p and see the value.
We’ve had a huge setback, but SNG does work. The science hasn’t changed. Now we’ve had the really bad news, good news normally follows.
Reward = positive data in the P3, positive outcome ACTIV-3, T/O and JV
Risk = kicked off ACTIV-3 and no positives from P3
The science is in our favour and that has been established. For me, SNG is worth the risk at 29p. RM won’t come out and chat until he’s got data and certainty. He likes both those things. And I think that’s OK. He’ll have a very clear direction of travel when he does talk to us.
My speculation on Polygon is that they are motivated to block any low bid in a T/O whilst buying some value.
All just my opinion. Kind regards. Mr Tennis.