RE: Are Barclays shares now primed for real growth?3 Jun 2021 19:32
bald_eagle, thanks for your reply. The author, Alistair Strang, is quite a cute cookie and his bio reads as follows:
"Alistair has led high-profile and top-secret software projects since the late 1970s, and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know “how it worked” with a view to mimicking existing trading formula and predict what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology."
I can't remember from memory what his success rate with guessing the direction of shares is? 72% seems to ring a bell.. but I could be mistaken. Whilst I am not here to defend or promote him or his views, I guess what may not be clear is that he is one of the original archetypal chartists and technical analysts. The software he refers to purely relates to this same subject matter i.e. the probability of movements in share prices based on past performance, past behaviours, past movements and volumes. What he doesn't do, as you say, is talk about fundamentals, macroeconomics, current market data etc. This on the basis that this is "just not his bag". When it comes to TA i am a believer... not everyone is and i am not here to try and convert anyone otherwise. I skirt on the amateur/novice side. At best TA could be compared to the analogy of weather forecasting for shares? Ultimately it is purely an opinion. Time will make things clearer... and indeed accuracy.
Thanks for taking the time to post my friend and please continue to contribute.