RE: No one knows27 May 2021 12:36
I think everyone is looking at the SP the wrong way round. Those that are frustrated are seeing their frustration as an outcome of the stagnant share price, but they're not thinking about the other side of the equation. Social scientists call this a "dependent" variable (i.e. the effect of something). But it's also an independent variable (i.e. a cause of something else).
The big boys know that people get frustrated, and when they get frustrated, they sell out. This allows them to accumulate. So, they've spent months now manipulating the share price: they know that most PIs are fully loaded and have no kitchen sinks left, and those entering late in the day can only really swim in their slipstream since the SP is 5000% up from the lows when many LTHs bought in and their £5K here or £10K there only buys 20,000 shares or whatever instead of a million like I did a couple of years ago (!) In a situation of low volume, they know they can keep it in this range and keep accumulating, but only if LTHs sell. [By the same token, they also can't go below 25p it seems: that floor, which, presumably is the point at which volume would increase dramatically, should help us all sleep at night].
What easier way to make PIs sell than bore them to death? As they look around and everything else seems to be going up - while the special divs come on spouting rubbish - eventually they go "sod it, I've had enough" and sell out at 26p straight into sticky institutional hands. Thus your frustration is both an outcome of the stagnating share price *and* a cause of you to sell. The hidden loop that ties all this together is the institutions parking big sell orders just above the bid, happily recycling some shares in and out with the mini-peaks and troughs, and siphoning yours off into their vaults.
It's textbook. It happens on every single share awaiting a takeover: no news for months, lots of stagnation and frustrated PIs, then, suddenly, BOOM, the impatient are all locked out and, as Tilly says, it's raining kippers. As someone said the other day, the IIs think they have *a right* to our shares: we've made our money, this lull is the point at which they tell us to be good boys and move on. They can do it via manipulation or they can do it by leveraging a company's need for cash and diluting PIs via a rights issue (the fact they the BOD haven't done this is to their credit, and shows just how brilliant they have been for us up to now).
The mad thing is, we all know this! Your boredom and frustration is your enemy. Your patience is your friend.