RE: Mining Update17 May 2023 11:12
It really concerns me that some people are let out in public, or invest in companies (or pretend to invest) without grasping basics. A DFS can’t be “rejected”. It’s a study, not a licence application.
When you get this far, and have inordinate amounts of data – in some cases going back decades from earlier studies by all manner of organisations – and supplement that with recent drilling campaigns, what you’re trying to do is work out what is, and isn’t, mineable, and build a mining plan on the basis of it.
So, the DFS is about determining with a high degree of certainty the value of what is in the ground, what is feasible to extract, and therefore what should move from inferred to indicated, resources to reserves.
Rosnedra isn’t going to turn around to the company and say “DFS FAIL”. They’ve already come back and forth with questions for clarification, and the decision from their end is about determining the extent of mineable product to add to the cadastre – and on that basis agree how much can be extracted over the life of the mine – not whether to simply accept or reject.
Moreover, the company evidently has so much data, from so many sources, and it has clearly spent a long time compiling it, analysing it and cross-referencing it, to ensure that whatever it has submitted in the DFS is a serious analysis that is as close to reality as possible.
Finally, it kind of doesn’t matter what Rosnedra does or does not say about the DFS. There will be enough data in it, and in the data room – to which NDA signatories have had access for going on four years now to do their own due diligence – for the buyer(s) to decide what they are, and are not, willing to pay. If there are big resource upgrades, they pay more; if the company can only show what is already broadly known; they pay less.
My money is on the former: millions have been spent drilling, and lots of time has passed for us not to be sitting on a literal and figurative goldmine.
Rums all round.