RE: Opinion22 Nov 2024 14:03
Hi Bozi
Newmont. You said: "Newmont held on but it seems that we aren't a core asset for now. "
"Newmont Corp (NYSE: NEM) said on Thursday it plans to sell six non-core assets"
They've kept Solgold, possibly because of: “Our go-forward portfolio is the new standard for gold and copper mining [and] provides our shareholders with exposure to the highest concentration of Tier 1 assets in the sector,”
https://www.mining-journal.com/london-to-a-brick/opinion/4189775/newmont-kingmaker-future-solgold
BHP: From the AGM:
"We have strengthened our already very strong position in copper, and we're exploring further growth around the world....It also leaves us well placed to work with smaller miners and explorers to bring new deposits to market faster and with less risk..."
Their core Strategy: "We will responsibly manage the most resilient long-term portfolio of assets, in highly attractive commodities, and will grow value through being excellent at operations, discovering and developing resources, acquiring the right assets and options, and capital allocation....We seek to add high-quality Tier 1 copper interests through our exploration activities and early-stage entry and acquisition options."
Filo and Oz Minerals
"BHP's share of the consideration for the Filo Acquisition will be approximately C$1,908 million (US$1,377 million) in cash. "
"BHP closes $6.4bn buyout of OZ Minerals"
BHP's Cash on Hand at 30 June 2024 was $12.5 Billion
They had Net Operating Cashflow of $20.7 Billion
So even at 80p/share we would only cost $3 Billion...chump change...
"Jiangxi are being extremely secretive. It's hard to know what their intentions are but they haven't bought on the open market for some time. That's why I said they are harder to speak for. I don't know. But I do think they'll be shook from their shares at around 50p. "
You have absolutely no basis for saying that.
Jiangxi is owned by the Chinese State; copper is strategic to China as they seek to get an armlock on it; their copper smelters need a constant feed and Trump is about to start a Trade War; they have been buying gold like theres no tomorow.
China also has a Free Trade Agreement with Ecuador since May 1st and they already have significant mining interests and an armlock on the oil industry.
So you can sure that if China wants Solgold, Cascabel, Porvenir the other 85 prospects and prospectively the biggest single mining footprint in Ecuador, price will not be an issue.
And buying more shares in the market would trigger takeover rumours and move the price against them.
They don't need to buy any more shares but if they bought one of the other 3% plus stakes (as well as consolidating Valuestone which they own), just watch the price fly.
Finally, there are at least TEN major players in the dataroom...when BHP made their first serious bid for Noront they didn't own a single share and only backed off at 75c ceding to Wyloo's 105c knockout bid