Reality check...10 Jul 2025 11:01
For those who think we're going bust... $33m 2nd tranche
For those who think the mine will never be built... 2nd tranche agreed. Does anyone think FNV, with a MCap of $42 BILLION are stupid, inept, or having the wool pulled over their eyes...?
For those who think we will fall to a lowball bid, the imminent DFS will show a NPV and IRR significantly above the last PFS, even at metals prices below $3300; $5.60; and $36.50 (cf $1750; $3.85; $22.50).
The DFS will show we can build a viable mine complex with a market beating NPV and IRR, possibly even commencing the build earlier if the Tandy results look good.
It will also substantiate the financing which will be a copper streaming deal for $900 million, or even less if Tandy results beat expectations.
The interesting question is whether prospective bidders dare wait for the DFS/Finance because the latter will undoubtedly stimulate a SP rerate, so the bidding would have to start from a higher base.
However, one could hardly blame prospective bidders for letting SOLG complete DFS having done the 'hard yards' including the development plans for:
The Tandy Open Pit
The ore processing plant
The water and hydroelectric supply
The tailings dam
The angled shaft into the copper core
The block cave
With the ExploreCo news imminent I still say this could be the last chance to buy Solgold under 7p...even the gloomiest predictions of 25p takeout would see a 257% gain, i.e. £10,000 becomes £35,700 and at a realistic possibility of £1, £10,000 becomes £142,800 (3.8 million shares becomes £3.8 million...)
GLA