RE: 2 year JDA on IT sensors with Asian electronics firm. No numbers but sounds very promising.7 Nov 2023 09:04
‘The JDA helps to underpin the Board's expectations for non-license fee income in FY24, which are in line with FY23 and is also expected to deliver additional sales of test materials during FY24 and FY25.‘
Non licence revenue in FY23 was £2.7m, so we’re in line with that, but they expect ‘additional sales of test materials during FY24’ plus the must anticipated and imminent first commercial order which will likely add £0.5 to £1m annually. So the FY 24 revenue should be approx £3.5m as a minimum, likely more.
Cash in bank after return to shareholders will be £20m, and cash burn is £6m, so we have cash for approx 8 years. This is all about large orders and mass adoption, which all independent analysis indicates is a given, from 2025 onwards.
Nanoco (by end March) will have:
- no debt
- cash for 8 years
- likely to be cash positive from 2025
- proven and defendable IP
- a platform technology with many fast approaching applications
- large scale production in place
- credibility as a stable, funded, high quality supplier of unique products
- likely income from licence agreements with other infringers.
- plus this work package IMO increases the chance of an upper end return of 12pps in March
- inbound non-exec to help commercialise quickly
I’ve said before I think that they were sloppy re guidance on the settlement, but I think they’re trustworthy and are in a great position to scale over 3 years. I expect the SP to be many multiples of today by end of 2025.
You can pick these up for effectively a single digit price when considering the guaranteed return in March.