RE: HUR EDISON and Hannam update11 Sep 2020 16:06
Latest Edison report- note Edisons valuation has been suspended until we can review our forecasts and valuation after the company provides its updated reserves and resources and/or conclusions from the ongoing technical review.
Investment summary
Hurricane’s technical committee has concluded that there is a reasonable probability that the oil water contact (OWC) in the Lancaster field is shallower than the range of OWCs estimated in the 2017 competent person’s report (CPR) by RPS Energy. As a result, the company believes there is a risk that the estimated reserves for the Lancaster early production system (EPS) and the contingent resources across the West of Shetland portfolio will be materially downgraded. In early August, Lancaster was producing at c 17,000bod, and Edison estimates this is likely to decline without technical intervention. The company is evaluating a range of production enhancement options, which could mitigate Edison’s production decline scenario, and expects to complete the technical review by its interim results, due on 11 September 2020. Our valuation has been suspended until we can review our forecasts and valuation after the company provides its updated reserves and resources and/or conclusions from the ongoing technical review. We expect that our core NAV could be significantly reduced from our previous estimate of 13.6p/share.
https://www.edisongroup.com/company/hurricane-energy/2150