RE: Cel AI share of daily TAO emissions23 Jul 2025 13:27
Just a note on the interview - around 5:24ish Olivia states that the 10 emissions a day, valued at 433 - Tao at the time, is equivalent to 1.6m Dollars per year.
However, her actual wording is "In revenue for the subnet as a whole" - Now, without knowing the specifics on whether they have their own miners & validators, we don't know for certain how much is retained by Cel.
But that isn't actually a scary thing, we know Cel Ai is the owner, at minimum they're taking 2 tao daily guaranteed (at this time):
Tao valued at $442.72 x 2.23 (Daily owner Tao take) = $987.27 (Rounded up cents). Then $987.27 x 30 (days) = $25,617.97 per month. Over a year that's $335,415.62 (rounded up).
At its current performance - this is the bare minimum Cel Ai is currently taking in from their subnet alone, if we go on the speculation that they have no active miner or validators taking part in the subnet - which from the interview, I get the understand they have at least some participation within the processing itself.
But $332k a year for running and maintain the subnet is nice, especially as its only just really started, and that performance is expected to grow. But its the subnet revenue that really shines, ignoring who gets what out of the emissions, there is 12.38 Tao generated daily.
$442.72 x 12.38 = $5,480.88 (Rounded up cents). Take $5,480.88 x 30 = $164,426.21 every 30 days. Over the course of a year at current performance, the subnet would generate $1,973,114.50 (Rounded up cents).
That's nearly $2 million dollars, being generated through the subnet and split in various ways, which is incredible considering just how recently it was set up. Using owner Tao take alone, the subnet is generating nicely, but if you take in the power of how much the subnet can potentially raise if it continues to improve performance, that's where the real magic is happening.
My prediction catalysts that will send the stock skyward:
1. The first report of earnings from the Tao subnet - This needs to be explained in detail and breakdown how much is overall revenue, how much Cel AI takes, how much participants are taking. This kind of information brings in the attention of Investor news outlets, word of mouth etc, which increases exposure which in turn benefits the stock and the subnet.
2. BTC purchases, holdings and average cost of the BTC - Again, greater detail in here, we need to know how much is held, how much was bought, what the average cost of the holdings are - this gives an indication as to how well Cel Ai is managing its treasury, which in turn can build positive or negative sentiment.
3. Partnerships - If Cel Ai branches out, partners with larger participating orgs within the subnet, or exposure for the Cel Ai Agent, in either developing it or utilising it - This sort of news brings in greater attention, exposure to audience / investors we previously aren't reaching.
So long as the subnet continues to perform, they're going to do just fi