RE: Aviation musings27 Apr 2020 14:25
So looking at the research that S2020 posted before.
It was surprising to see that the military SIMS (2,800) are about twice as many as Civil SIMS (1,351).
Whereas the focus has mostly been on Civil training, military have to keep going and one would expect that they are not as affected by the current situation. L3 have a decent portion and added to the Civil SIMS have about 775 in total.
Pat did mention at CMD that there were 4,000 SIMS out there covering both Civil and Mission (as he called it)
So in Aviation the military side won't stop but as Paul said in terms of Civil airlines we are dealing with Sovereign entities - the likes of Emirates etc. And of course transport sectors like Fedex who are probably flat out shipping stuff at present.
Will training stop - No.
A lost of Civil pilots aren't flying so they need refresher training as well as accreditation every min 12 months (some airlines require 6 or 9 months) and of course if they aren't flying they need SIM time.
Mission SIMS wont stop.
So if some airlines do go bust (as some will) then their pilots are available - but Boeing said there is a requirement for 800k pilots in the next 20 years. (CNBC June 2019) ?
And what might not be known is that in US there is a mandatory retirement age of 65.
American Airlines (whom I believe we are talking to) - About 4,965 pilots are expected to reach the retirement age of 65 by Dec. 31, 2025
It's clear that training of pilots will only increase due to demand - So SIM manufacturers and airlines (both civil and mission providers) will need to come up with novel ways of improving training methods.