fqm8 Feb 2013 23:32
First Quantum would have to take on significant debt to fund the Inmet acquisition and build two big mines, so it would not generate free cash until 2014 at the earliest. Meanwhile, its copper production, which rose 16 per cent in 2012 to 307,115 tonnes, may stagnate at between 302,000 and 330,000 tonnes in 2013. Simultaneously, its production costs may rise slightly, although they should remain among the lowest quartile of global copper miners.
These factors mean First Quantum's balance sheet could come under pressure if copper prices soften considerably. That said, most industry commentators don't think they will. Copper is most analysts' standout favourite metal and almost none of them expects a significant price drop in the near term - especially not in the first quarter following strong starts to the year in the US and China. That said, few industry analysts predicted iron ore's quick meltdown last summer, when prices dropped nearly 40 per cent in four months.